Depor FC vs Real Soacha: prediction and stats
Primera BClausura - 12Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero, Santiago de Cali
The Footlab model makes Real Soacha the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Depor FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Depor FC vs Real Soacha?
Real Soacha starts as the favourite with a 230-point Elo edge (1,580 vs 1,349).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Depor FC have 1 wins, 5 draws and 9 defeats; Real Soacha have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Patriotas(away) | 0-2 | Primera B |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Real Santander(home) | 2-2 | Primera B |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Barranquilla(away) | 2-2 | Primera B |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Ind. Yumbo(home) | 0-2 | Primera B |
| May 30, 2026 | Millonarios(home) | 1-8 | Copa Colombia |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Orsomarso(away) | 0-2 | Primera B |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Leones FC(away) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Popayan(home) | 3-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Real Cartagena(home) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Envigado(away) | 0-1 | Primera B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Depor FC win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Real Soacha win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2026 | Real Soacha 1-2 Depor FC | Primera B |
| Aug 19, 2025 | Depor FC 2-3 Real Soacha | Primera B |
| Mar 11, 2025 | Real Soacha 5-2 Depor FC | Primera B |
| Aug 26, 2024 | Depor FC 1-0 Real Soacha | Primera B |
| Mar 12, 2024 | Real Soacha 1-0 Depor FC | Primera B |
| Aug 28, 2023 | Depor FC 1-2 Real Soacha | Primera B |
Last archived meeting: Real Soacha vs Depor FC on Mar 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Depor FC score 0.9 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Real Soacha score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Depor FC | 0.9 | 2.4 | 0 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Real Soacha | 1.1 | 1.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Depor FC sit 15th in Primera B (9 points from 15 matches) and Real Soacha sit 13th (13 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Real Soacha | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 10 | Real Soacha | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 5 |
| 11 | Depor FC | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| 12 | Real Soacha | 20 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 19 | 25 | 18 |
| 13 | Real Soacha | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 13 |
| 13 | Real Soacha | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 13 |
| 15 | Depor FC | 15 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 23 | 9 |
| 15 | Depor FC | 15 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 23 | 9 |
| 15 | Depor FC | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 2 |
| 16 | Depor FC | 19 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 31 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Depor FC vs Real Soacha?
- The Footlab model makes Real Soacha the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Depor FC.
- Where and when is Depor FC vs Real Soacha played?
- Depor FC vs Real Soacha is played on October 3, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero, in the Primera B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.