Match

Tlaxcala vs Correcaminos Uat: prediction and stats

Liga de Expansión MXApertura - 14Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Tlahuicole, Tlaxcala

TlaxcalaCorrecaminos Uat

The Footlab AI model makes Tlaxcala the favourite at 63%, against 19% for a draw and 18% for Correcaminos Uat. The most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,938 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tlaxcala vs Correcaminos Uat?

On Elo ratings, Tlaxcala has 1,806 points and Correcaminos Uat 1,739.

63%19%18%
Tlaxcala winDrawCorrecaminos Uat win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Tlaxcala vs Correcaminos Uat

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Tlaxcala

4-3-3
  1. 24E. Robles
  2. 11D. Álvarez
  3. 9Christian Henrique Mota de Oliveira Silva
  1. 6A. Iniestra
  2. 16M. Ramírez
  3. 12J. Freyfeld
  1. 1I. Govea
  2. 29M. Trejo
  3. 3E. Santos
  4. 21E. García
  1. 22N. Bedolla

Correcaminos Uat

4-3-3
  1. 3O. Pérez
  2. 33D. Mina
  3. 7O. Islas
  1. 8R. Torres
  2. 10W. Guzmán
  3. 25Emmanuel Torres
  1. 19A. Catalán
  2. 2W. Ortega
  3. 22A. Di Pippa
  4. 6A. Ruiz
  1. 1E. Pérez

Computed on October 21, 2026 at 08:01 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tlaxcala have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Correcaminos Uat have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tlaxcala
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026CA La Paz(away)2-2Liga de Expansión MX
Oct 10, 2026Piratas(home)4-2Liga de Expansión MX
Oct 4, 2026Monarcas(away)1-1Liga de Expansión MX
Sep 26, 2026Cancún(home)4-1Liga de Expansión MX
Sep 20, 2026Tapatío(away)0-4Liga de Expansión MX
Correcaminos Uat
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Dorados(home)1-2Liga de Expansión MX
Oct 9, 2026Alebrijes de Oaxaca(away)1-2Liga de Expansión MX
Oct 3, 2026Cruz Azul Hidalgo(home)0-0Liga de Expansión MX
Sep 26, 2026CDS Tampico Madero(home)1-0Liga de Expansión MX
Sep 19, 2026CA La Paz(away)1-3Liga de Expansión MX

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Tlaxcala win, 2 draws, 3 Correcaminos Uat wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 31, 2026Correcaminos Uat 2-1 TlaxcalaLiga de Expansión MX
Aug 24, 2025Tlaxcala 0-2 Correcaminos UatLiga de Expansión MX
Jan 17, 2025Correcaminos Uat 1-1 TlaxcalaLiga de Expansión MX
Aug 4, 2024Tlaxcala 3-2 Correcaminos UatLiga de Expansión MX
Mar 1, 2024Correcaminos Uat 1-1 TlaxcalaLiga de Expansión MX
Nov 1, 2023Tlaxcala 0-1 Correcaminos UatLiga de Expansión MX

Last archived meeting: Correcaminos Uat vs Tlaxcala on Jan 31, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Tlaxcala score 1.8 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Correcaminos Uat score 1.7 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Tlaxcala1.81.9112/1511/15
Correcaminos Uat1.72.1312/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Tlaxcala sit 12th in Liga de Expansión MX (16 points from 13 matches) and Correcaminos Uat sit 11th (16 points from 13 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Correcaminos Uat13445212216
12Tlaxcala13445252716

A question about Tlaxcala vs Correcaminos Uat?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tlaxcala vs Correcaminos Uat?
The Footlab AI model makes Tlaxcala the favourite at 63%, against 19% for a draw and 18% for Correcaminos Uat.
Where and when is Tlaxcala vs Correcaminos Uat played?
Tlaxcala vs Correcaminos Uat is played on October 25, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Tlahuicole, in the Liga de Expansión MX.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Tlaxcala and Correcaminos Uat

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