Tochigi SC vs Kochi United: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Kanseki Stadium, Utsunomiya
The Footlab model makes Tochigi SC the favourite at 62%, against 23% for a draw and 15% for Kochi United. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tochigi SC vs Kochi United?
A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate Tochigi SC (1,727) and Kochi United (1,634).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tochigi SC have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Kochi United have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kitakyushu(home) | 2-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Urayasu(home) | 2-0 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Roasso Kumamoto(away) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kanazawa(home) | 3-2 | J3 League |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Kitakyushu(home) | 2-1 | J2/J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kamatamare Sanuki(home) | 2-1 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Verspah Oita(away) | 0-3 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Gifu(away) | 0-7 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Matsumoto Yamaga(home) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Omiya Ardija(away) | 1-2 | J2/J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Tochigi SC win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Kochi United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2025 | Kochi United 0-1 Tochigi SC | J3 League |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Tochigi SC 1-0 Kochi United | J3 League |
Last archived meeting: Kochi United vs Tochigi SC on Sep 14, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Tochigi SC score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kochi United score 0.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tochigi SC | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Kochi United | 0.8 | 1.7 | 4 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tochigi SC sit 8th in J3 League (5 points from 3 matches) and Kochi United sit 11th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Tochigi SC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| 11 | Kochi United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tochigi SC vs Kochi United?
- The Footlab model makes Tochigi SC the favourite at 62%, against 23% for a draw and 15% for Kochi United.
- Where and when is Tochigi SC vs Kochi United played?
- Tochigi SC vs Kochi United is played on September 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Kanseki Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 5, 2026FC GifuvsKanazawa
- Sep 5, 2026Matsumoto YamagavsOsaka
- Sep 5, 2026Roasso KumamotovsNara Club
- Sep 5, 2026Kamatamare SanukivsBiwako Shiga
- Sep 5, 2026Ehime FCvsKitakyushu
- Sep 5, 2026Thespakusatsu GunmavsFukushima United
- Sep 5, 2026Kagoshima UnitedvsFC Ryukyu
- Sep 5, 2026Gainare TottorivsRenofa Yamaguchi