Match

FC Tokyo vs Tokyo Verdy: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Ajinomoto Stadium, Chōfu

FC TokyoTokyo Verdy

The Footlab AI model makes FC Tokyo the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Tokyo Verdy. The most likely score is 2-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.5% of the 3,666 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Tokyo vs Tokyo Verdy?

FC Tokyo starts as the favourite with a 220-point Elo edge (2,118 vs 1,897).

63%22%15%
FC Tokyo winDrawTokyo Verdy win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for FC Tokyo vs Tokyo Verdy

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

FC Tokyo

4-4-2
  1. 26M. Nagakura
  2. 9Marcelo Ryan
  1. 8T. Ko
  2. 7S. Anzai
  3. 27Kyota Tokiwa
  4. 10K. Sato
  1. 24A. Scholz
  2. 4H. Inamura
  3. 6K. Bangnagande
  4. 22H. Ishihara
  1. 81Kim Seung-Gyu

Tokyo Verdy

4-4-2
  1. 33K. Ichimi
  2. 25I. Kumatoriya
  1. 8K. Saito
  2. 40Y. Arai
  3. 19K. Fujimoto
  4. 16R. Hirakawa
  1. 4N. Hayashi
  2. 18S. Mizoguchi
  3. 15K. Suzuki
  4. 96Cho Yu-Min
  1. 1Matheus Vidotto

Computed on October 27, 2026 at 03:46 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Tokyo have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat; Tokyo Verdy have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Tokyo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 25, 2026Mito Hollyhock(home)6-0J1 League
Oct 21, 2026Kashiwa Reysol(home)0-0J1 League
Oct 17, 2026Tokyo Verdy(away)4-0J1 League
Oct 14, 2026Mito Hollyhock(away)0-1J-League Cup
Oct 10, 2026Urawa(home)3-0J1 League
Tokyo Verdy
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2026Avispa Fukuoka(home)3-1J1 League
Oct 21, 2026Yokohama F. Marinos(away)2-2J1 League
Oct 17, 2026FC Tokyo(home)0-4J1 League
Oct 11, 2026Sanfrecce Hiroshima(home)0-2J1 League
Oct 7, 2026Gainare Tottori(away)0-0Emperor Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 FC Tokyo wins, 3 draws, 0 Tokyo Verdy wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Tokyo Verdy 0-4 FC TokyoJ1 League
May 10, 2026FC Tokyo 2-1 Tokyo VerdyJ1 League
Mar 22, 2026Tokyo Verdy 0-0 FC TokyoJ1 League
Sep 15, 2025FC Tokyo 1-0 Tokyo VerdyJ1 League
Apr 2, 2025Tokyo Verdy 2-2 FC TokyoJ1 League
Aug 17, 2024FC Tokyo 0-0 Tokyo VerdyJ1 League

Last archived meeting: Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo on Oct 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FC Tokyo score 2.5 and concede 0.3 goals per match over their last 15; Tokyo Verdy score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FC Tokyo2.50.3122/157/15
Tokyo Verdy0.91.547/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Tokyo sit 2nd in J1 League (27 points from 12 matches) and Tokyo Verdy sit 18th (8 points from 12 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2FC Tokyo1283127827
18Tokyo Verdy121569218

A question about FC Tokyo vs Tokyo Verdy?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Tokyo vs Tokyo Verdy?
The Footlab AI model makes FC Tokyo the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Tokyo Verdy.
Where and when is FC Tokyo vs Tokyo Verdy played?
FC Tokyo vs Tokyo Verdy is played on May 9, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Ajinomoto Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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