Where and when is Cerezo Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus played?

Cerezo Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus is played on May 9, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Yodoko Sakura Stadium, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Cerezo Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Yodoko Sakura Stadium, Osaka

Cerezo Osaka

Nagoya Grampus

The Footlab model makes Cerezo Osaka the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Nagoya Grampus. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cerezo Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus?

A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Cerezo Osaka (2,019) and Nagoya Grampus (1,953).

Cerezo Osaka win49 %

Draw24 %

Nagoya Grampus win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cerezo Osaka have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Nagoya Grampus have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cerezo Osaka
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	FC Gifu(home)	3-1	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Shimizu S-pulse(home)	1-0	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Avispa Fukuoka(away)	0-3	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Fagiano Okayama(home)	2-1	J1 League
Jul 29, 2026	Borussia Dortmund(home)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs

Nagoya Grampus
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Gainare Tottori(home)	1-3	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Gamba Osaka(home)	3-1	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Kashima(away)	1-2	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Shimizu S-pulse(home)	0-1	J1 League
Jul 25, 2026	Consadole Sapporo(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Cerezo Osaka win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Nagoya Grampus win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 17, 2026	Cerezo Osaka 6-1 Nagoya Grampus	J1 League
Apr 4, 2026	Nagoya Grampus 3-0 Cerezo Osaka	J1 League
Oct 4, 2025	Nagoya Grampus 2-1 Cerezo Osaka	J1 League
Mar 8, 2025	Cerezo Osaka 1-1 Nagoya Grampus	J1 League
Jun 30, 2024	Cerezo Osaka 2-1 Nagoya Grampus	J1 League
Apr 21, 2024	Nagoya Grampus 2-1 Cerezo Osaka	J1 League

Last archived meeting: Cerezo Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus on May 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Cerezo Osaka score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Nagoya Grampus score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Cerezo Osaka	1.9	1.1	4	10/15	9/15
Nagoya Grampus	1.5	1.8	2	11/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Cerezo Osaka sit 6th in J1 League (6 points from 3 matches) and Nagoya Grampus sit 13th (3 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Cerezo Osaka	3	2	0	1	3	4	6
13	Nagoya Grampus	3	1	0	2	4	4	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cerezo Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus?: The Footlab model makes Cerezo Osaka the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Nagoya Grampus.
Where and when is Cerezo Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus played?: Cerezo Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus is played on May 9, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Yodoko Sakura Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.