Where and when is JEF United Chiba vs Tokyo Verdy played?

JEF United Chiba vs Tokyo Verdy is played on March 10, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Fukuda Denshi Arena, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

JEF United Chiba vs Tokyo Verdy: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 10, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Fukuda Denshi Arena, Chiba

JEF United Chiba

Tokyo Verdy

The Footlab model makes JEF United Chiba the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Tokyo Verdy. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win JEF United Chiba vs Tokyo Verdy?

A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate JEF United Chiba (1,815) and Tokyo Verdy (1,872).

JEF United Chiba win39 %

Draw28 %

Tokyo Verdy win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, JEF United Chiba have 1 wins, 3 draws and 11 defeats; Tokyo Verdy have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

JEF United Chiba
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Azul Claro Numazu(home)	1-1	Emperor Cup
Aug 21, 2026	FC Tokyo(away)	0-2	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Machida Zelvia(home)	0-4	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Sanfrecce Hiroshima(away)	0-3	J1 League
Aug 1, 2026	Kashiwa Reysol(home)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs

Tokyo Verdy
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Thespakusatsu Gunma(home)	4-1	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Fagiano Okayama(away)	0-0	J1 League
Aug 14, 2026	Kashiwa Reysol(home)	1-3	J1 League
Aug 9, 2026	Kawasaki Frontale(home)	1-1	J1 League
Jun 6, 2026	Gamba Osaka(home)	2-4	J1 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 JEF United Chiba win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Tokyo Verdy win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 18, 2026	Tokyo Verdy 1-0 JEF United Chiba	J1 League
Apr 4, 2026	JEF United Chiba 3-2 Tokyo Verdy	J1 League
Nov 26, 2023	Tokyo Verdy 2-1 JEF United Chiba	J2 League
Oct 22, 2023	Tokyo Verdy 3-2 JEF United Chiba	J2 League
Apr 16, 2023	JEF United Chiba 1-0 Tokyo Verdy	J2 League
Jun 26, 2022	JEF United Chiba 3-1 Tokyo Verdy	J2 League

Last archived meeting: Tokyo Verdy vs JEF United Chiba on Apr 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

JEF United Chiba score 0.8 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Tokyo Verdy score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
JEF United Chiba	0.8	2.0	2	6/15	8/15
Tokyo Verdy	1.1	1.4	5	8/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

JEF United Chiba sit 20th in J1 League (0 points from 3 matches) and Tokyo Verdy sit 17th (2 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
17	Tokyo Verdy	3	0	2	1	2	4	2
20	JEF United Chiba	3	0	0	3	0	9	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for JEF United Chiba vs Tokyo Verdy?: The Footlab model makes JEF United Chiba the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Tokyo Verdy.
Where and when is JEF United Chiba vs Tokyo Verdy played?: JEF United Chiba vs Tokyo Verdy is played on March 10, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Fukuda Denshi Arena, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.