Fagiano Okayama vs Yokohama F. Marinos: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 10, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)City Light Stadium, Okayama
The Footlab model makes Fagiano Okayama the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Yokohama F. Marinos. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fagiano Okayama vs Yokohama F. Marinos?
A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Fagiano Okayama (1,938) and Yokohama F. Marinos (1,976).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fagiano Okayama have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Yokohama F. Marinos have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Beluga Rosso Iwami(home) | 3-0 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Tokyo Verdy(home) | 0-0 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | V-varen Nagasaki(home) | 1-0 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cerezo Osaka(away) | 1-2 | J1 League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FC Schalke 04(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Fukushima United(home) | 1-0 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Vissel Kobe(home) | 1-0 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Shimizu S-pulse(away) | 1-0 | J1 League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Kashima(home) | 3-4 | J1 League |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Roasso Kumamoto(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Fagiano Okayama win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Yokohama F. Marinos win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 2025 | Yokohama F. Marinos 0-1 Fagiano Okayama | J1 League |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Fagiano Okayama 1-0 Yokohama F. Marinos | J1 League |
Last archived meeting: Yokohama F. Marinos vs Fagiano Okayama on Jun 21, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Fagiano Okayama score 1.4 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Yokohama F. Marinos score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fagiano Okayama | 1.4 | 1.0 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Yokohama F. Marinos | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fagiano Okayama sit 9th in J1 League (4 points from 3 matches) and Yokohama F. Marinos sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 9 | Fagiano Okayama | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fagiano Okayama vs Yokohama F. Marinos?
- The Footlab model makes Fagiano Okayama the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Yokohama F. Marinos.
- Where and when is Fagiano Okayama vs Yokohama F. Marinos played?
- Fagiano Okayama vs Yokohama F. Marinos is played on March 10, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at City Light Stadium, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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