Tottenham vs Leeds: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London
The Footlab AI model makes Tottenham the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Leeds. The most likely score is 1-1. If Tottenham wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tottenham vs Leeds?
A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate Tottenham (2,168) and Leeds (2,255).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tottenham vs Leeds
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tottenham
4-2-3-1- 19D. Solanke
- 16S. Tonali
- 17Sávio
- 8C. Gallagher
- 15L. Bergvall
- 20M. Kudus
- 6J. van Hecke
- 14A. Gray
- 13D. Udogie
- 5M. Senesi
- 31A. Kinský
Leeds
3-4-2-1- 9D. Calvert-Lewin
- 4E. Ampadu
- 2J. Bogle
- 18A. Stach
- 19N. Okafor
- 22A. Tanaka
- 3G. Gudmundsson
- 5T. Muharemović
- 24J. Justin
- 30N. Elvedi
- 1J. Trafford
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 05:44 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tottenham have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Leeds have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Manchester United(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Aston Villa(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Liverpool(away) | 1-3 | League Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Everton(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Nottingham Forest(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Arsenal(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Crystal Palace(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Newcastle(home) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Chelsea(away) | 3-6 | League Cup |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Brighton(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Tottenham wins, 1 draw, 0 Leeds wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2026 | Tottenham 1-1 Leeds | Premier League |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Leeds 1-2 Tottenham | Premier League |
| May 28, 2023 | Leeds 1-4 Tottenham | Premier League |
| Nov 12, 2022 | Tottenham 4-3 Leeds | Premier League |
| Feb 26, 2022 | Leeds 0-4 Tottenham | Premier League |
| Nov 21, 2021 | Tottenham 2-1 Leeds | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Tottenham score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Leeds score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Leeds | 1.8 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tottenham sit 19th in Premier League (3 points from 6 matches) and Leeds sit 7th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Leeds | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 9 |
| 19 | Tottenham | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 3 |
A question about Tottenham vs Leeds?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tottenham vs Leeds?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tottenham the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Leeds.
- Where and when is Tottenham vs Leeds played?
- Tottenham vs Leeds is played on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.