Brentford vs Brighton: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Gtech Community Stadium, Brentford, Middlesex
The Footlab AI model makes Brighton the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Brentford. The most likely score is 1-1. If Brighton wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,505 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Brentford vs Brighton?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Brentford (2,266) and Brighton (2,316).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Brentford vs Brighton
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Brentford
4-2-3-1- 9Thiago
- 23K. Lewis-Potter
- 27V. Janelt
- 7K. Schade
- 19J. Anthony
- 6Y. Yarmolyuk
- 20K. Ajer
- 33M. Kayode
- 44Jannik Schuster
- 25E. Diouf
- 1C. Kelleher
Brighton
4-2-3-1- 19C. Kostoulas
- 13P. Groß
- 25D. Gómez
- 29M. De Cuyper
- 26Y. Ayari
- 14José María Andrés Baixauli
- 21O. Boscagli
- 44L. Vušković
- 24F. Kadıoğlu
- 4P. Struijk
- 1B. Verbruggen
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 04:45 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brentford have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Brighton have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Aston Villa(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Chelsea(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Reading(away) | 2-1 | League Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Bournemouth(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Sunderland(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris(home) | 4-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sunderland(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Arsenal(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Manchester United(away) | 3-2 | League Cup |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Coventry(away) | 5-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Brentford win, 2 draws, 3 Brighton wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Brentford 0-2 Brighton | Premier League |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Brighton 2-1 Brentford | Premier League |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Brentford 4-2 Brighton | Premier League |
| Dec 27, 2024 | Brighton 0-0 Brentford | Premier League |
| Apr 3, 2024 | Brentford 0-0 Brighton | Premier League |
| Dec 6, 2023 | Brighton 2-1 Brentford | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Brentford vs Brighton on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Brentford score 2.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Brighton score 2.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brentford | 2.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Brighton | 2.5 | 0.9 | 9 | 4/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Brentford sit 4th in Premier League (10 points from 6 matches) and Brighton sit 3rd (13 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Brighton | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Brentford | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 10 |
A question about Brentford vs Brighton?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Brentford vs Brighton?
- The Footlab AI model makes Brighton the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Brentford.
- Where and when is Brentford vs Brighton played?
- Brentford vs Brighton is played on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Gtech Community Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.