Newcastle vs Fulham: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)St. James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne
The Footlab AI model makes Newcastle the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Fulham. The most likely score is 1-1. If Newcastle wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Newcastle vs Fulham?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Newcastle (2,171) and Fulham (2,134).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Newcastle vs Fulham
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Newcastle
4-2-3-1- 20M. Fernandez-Pardo
- 11H. Barnes
- 9Y. Wissa
- 23J. Murphy
- 28J. Willock
- 6Nico González
- 4S. Botman
- 3L. Hall
- 12M. Thiaw
- 67L. Miley
- 21L. Horníček
Fulham
4-2-3-1- 7Gonzalo García
- 14Oscar Bobb
- 17A. Iwobi
- 24Joshua King
- 19S. Charles
- 16S. Berge
- 3C. Bassey
- 22D. Affengruber
- 21T. Castagne
- 33A. Robinson
- 1B. Leno
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 09:53 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Newcastle have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Fulham have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Coventry(away) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Hull City(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Leeds(away) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Millwall(away) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Bournemouth(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ipswich(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Manchester United(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | West Ham(away) | 3-2 | League Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Liverpool(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Crystal Palace(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Newcastle wins, 0 draws, 3 Fulham wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Fulham 2-0 Newcastle | Premier League |
| Dec 17, 2025 | Newcastle 2-1 Fulham | League Cup |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Newcastle 2-1 Fulham | Premier League |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Newcastle 1-2 Fulham | Premier League |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Fulham 3-1 Newcastle | Premier League |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Fulham 0-1 Newcastle | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Newcastle score 1.6 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Fulham score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle | 1.6 | 1.8 | 3 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Fulham | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Newcastle sit 11th in Premier League (8 points from 6 matches) and Fulham sit 20th (2 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Newcastle | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 8 |
| 20 | Fulham | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 2 |
A question about Newcastle vs Fulham?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Newcastle vs Fulham?
- The Footlab AI model makes Newcastle the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Fulham.
- Where and when is Newcastle vs Fulham played?
- Newcastle vs Fulham is played on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at St. James' Park, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.