Tranmere vs Crawley Town: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 27Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Prenton Park, Birkenhead, Merseyside
The Footlab AI model makes Tranmere the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Crawley Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Tranmere wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tranmere vs Crawley Town?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Tranmere (1,689) and Crawley Town (1,684).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tranmere vs Crawley Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tranmere
4-2-3-1- 29D. Jones
- 10T. Ince
- 6W. Vaulks
- 7Charlie Jay Whitaker
- 11T. Conlon
- 17Z. Okoro
- 2J. Senior
- 3J. Slater
- 5N. Smith
- 30G. Nevett
- 12H. Male
Crawley Town
4-4-2- 9D. Orsi
- 8L. Watson
- 20J. Arthurs
- 22A. Adeyemo
- 30Kai Jennings
- 10S. Duke-McKenna
- 6P. Farquharson
- 24A. Odimayo
- 5C. Barker
- 12L. Richards
- 1V. Mannone
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 02:27 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tranmere have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Crawley Town have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Rochdale(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Chesterfield(away) | 2-4 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Walsall(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Shrewsbury(home) | 1-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Exeter City(away) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Chesterfield(home) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Bromley(home) | 4-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Milton Keynes Dons(away) | 1-4 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Grimsby(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cheltenham(home) | 1-3 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Tranmere wins, 0 draws, 3 Crawley Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Tranmere 2-0 Crawley Town | League Two |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Crawley Town 0-2 Tranmere | League Two |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Tranmere 1-3 Crawley Town | League Two |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Crawley Town 3-2 Tranmere | League Two |
| Apr 15, 2023 | Crawley Town 2-1 Tranmere | League Two |
| Feb 28, 2023 | Tranmere 1-0 Crawley Town | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Tranmere vs Crawley Town on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tranmere score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Crawley Town score 1.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tranmere | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Crawley Town | 1.1 | 1.6 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tranmere sit 13th in League Two (12 points from 10 matches) and Crawley Town sit 24th (5 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Tranmere | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 12 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 5 |
A question about Tranmere vs Crawley Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tranmere vs Crawley Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tranmere the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Crawley Town.
- Where and when is Tranmere vs Crawley Town played?
- Tranmere vs Crawley Town is played on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Prenton Park, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.