Tranmere vs Northampton: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 26Kick-off on January 19, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Prenton Park, Birkenhead, Merseyside
The Footlab AI model makes Tranmere the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Northampton. The most likely score is 1-1. If Tranmere wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tranmere vs Northampton?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Tranmere (1,686) and Northampton (1,675).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tranmere vs Northampton
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tranmere
4-2-3-1- 29D. Jones
- 10T. Ince
- 6W. Vaulks
- 7Charlie Jay Whitaker
- 11T. Conlon
- 17Z. Okoro
- 2J. Senior
- 3J. Slater
- 5N. Smith
- 30G. Nevett
- 12H. Male
Northampton
4-4-2- 19O. Dale
- 9Matthew Warhurst
- 16J. Wormleighton
- 4J. O'Brien-Whitmarsh
- 8L. Evans
- 24C. Lemonheigh-Evans
- 6E. Moore
- 5J. Guthrie
- 22Joshua Alan Powell
- 44J. Donacien
- 1Z. Jeacock
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 03:19 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tranmere have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Northampton have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Rochdale(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Chesterfield(away) | 2-4 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Walsall(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Shrewsbury(home) | 1-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Exeter City(away) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | York(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Cambridge United(away) | 1-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Rotherham(home) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Shrewsbury(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Newport County(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Tranmere wins, 2 draws, 4 Northampton wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2023 | Tranmere 0-1 Northampton | League Two |
| Dec 3, 2022 | Northampton 0-0 Tranmere | League Two |
| Mar 5, 2022 | Northampton 3-2 Tranmere | League Two |
| Oct 23, 2021 | Tranmere 0-2 Northampton | League Two |
| Feb 5, 2019 | Tranmere 1-2 Northampton | League Two |
| Sep 1, 2018 | Northampton 1-1 Tranmere | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Tranmere vs Northampton on May 8, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Tranmere score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Northampton score 0.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tranmere | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Northampton | 0.8 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tranmere sit 13th in League Two (12 points from 10 matches) and Northampton sit 23rd (7 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Tranmere | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 12 |
| 23 | Northampton | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 7 |
A question about Tranmere vs Northampton?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tranmere vs Northampton?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tranmere the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Northampton.
- Where and when is Tranmere vs Northampton played?
- Tranmere vs Northampton is played on January 19, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Prenton Park, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.