Match

Trefelin vs Coedpoeth United: prediction and stats

Welsh CupRound of 32Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Ynys Park, Cwmafan

TrefelinCoedpoeth United

The Footlab AI model makes Trefelin the favourite at 63%, against 18% for a draw and 19% for Coedpoeth United. The most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,768 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Trefelin vs Coedpoeth United?

Trefelin starts as the favourite with a 262-point Elo edge (1,703 vs 1,441).

63%18%19%
Trefelin winDrawCoedpoeth United win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Trefelin vs Coedpoeth United

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Trefelin

4-3-3
  1. 10T. Brock
  2. 11Lewys Ware
  3. 7K. Georgievsky
  1. 19J. Jones
  2. 20Bayan Aman
  3. 4L. Gerrard
  1. 26K. Owen
  2. 2M. Thomas
  3. 8J. Davies
  4. 35Osian Davies
  1. 1S. Coughlan

Coedpoeth United

Not enough data to predict the Coedpoeth United lineup.

Computed on November 7, 2026 at 10:23 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trefelin have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Coedpoeth United have 0, 1 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Trefelin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 6, 2026Colwyn Bay(home)1-2Premier League
Oct 30, 2026Barry Town(away)0-3Premier League
Oct 23, 2026Flint Town United(home)0-2Premier League
Oct 17, 2026Llantwit Major(home)4-1Welsh Cup
Oct 9, 2026Cardiff MET(away)3-1Premier League
Coedpoeth United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Guilsfield(home)3-3Welsh Cup
Oct 19, 2019Gresford Athletic(home)0-5Welsh Cup
Oct 20, 2018Ruthin Town(home)2-3Welsh Cup
Oct 1, 2016Holywell(home)0-8Welsh Cup
Oct 4, 2014Denbigh Town(home)0-3Welsh Cup

How many goals should we expect?

Trefelin score 0.9 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Coedpoeth United score 1.1 and concede 4.3. The model gives a 79% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Trefelin0.92.208/159/15
Coedpoeth United1.14.304/77/7

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

A question about Trefelin vs Coedpoeth United?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Trefelin vs Coedpoeth United?
The Footlab AI model makes Trefelin the favourite at 63%, against 18% for a draw and 19% for Coedpoeth United.
Where and when is Trefelin vs Coedpoeth United played?
Trefelin vs Coedpoeth United is played on November 14, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Ynys Park, in the Welsh Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Trefelin and Coedpoeth United

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