llanelli AFC vs Cardiff Draconians: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 16Kick-off on November 27, 2026 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Stebonheath Park, Llanelli, Carmarthenshire
The Footlab AI model makes Cardiff Draconians the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for llanelli AFC. The most likely score is 1-1. If Cardiff Draconians wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,746 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win llanelli AFC vs Cardiff Draconians?
A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate llanelli AFC (1,428) and Cardiff Draconians (1,522).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for llanelli AFC vs Cardiff Draconians
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
llanelli AFC
Not enough data to predict the llanelli AFC lineup.
Cardiff Draconians
Not enough data to predict the Cardiff Draconians lineup.
Computed on October 28, 2026 at 09:09 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, llanelli AFC have 0 wins, 2 draws and 13 defeats; Cardiff Draconians have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Afan Lido(home) | 0-3 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(away) | 0-6 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ynyshir Albions(away) | 2-6 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Baglan Dragons(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Llantwit Major(away) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Trethomas Bluebirds(away) | 1-3 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Radnor Valley(away) | 3-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Carmarthen Town(home) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Newport City(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(home) | 1-3 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 llanelli AFC wins, 0 draws, 1 Cardiff Draconians win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cardiff Draconians 4-2 llanelli AFC | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Cardiff Draconians vs llanelli AFC on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
llanelli AFC score 0.6 and concede 3.5 goals per match over their last 15; Cardiff Draconians score 1.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| llanelli AFC | 0.6 | 3.5 | 0 | 6/15 | 12/15 |
| Cardiff Draconians | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
llanelli AFC sit 16th in FAW Championship (2 points from 12 matches) and Cardiff Draconians sit 15th (9 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Cardiff Draconians | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 9 |
| 16 | llanelli AFC | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 36 | 2 |
A question about llanelli AFC vs Cardiff Draconians?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for llanelli AFC vs Cardiff Draconians?
- The Footlab AI model makes Cardiff Draconians the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for llanelli AFC.
- Where and when is llanelli AFC vs Cardiff Draconians played?
- llanelli AFC vs Cardiff Draconians is played on November 27, 2026 at 07:30 PM (UTC) at Stebonheath Park, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 27, 2026Newport CityvsPontardawe Town
- Nov 27, 2026Afan LidovsCaerau (Ely)
- Nov 27, 2026Caerphilly AthleticvsBaglan Dragons
- Nov 27, 2026Carmarthen TownvsSwansea University
- Nov 28, 2026Llantwit MajorvsTreowen Stars
- Nov 28, 2026Trethomas BluebirdsvsYnyshir Albions
- Nov 28, 2026Aberystwyth TownvsPontypridd Town