Trival Valderas vs Leganes: prediction and stats
Copa del ReyRound of 128Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Canaleja, Alcorcón
The Footlab AI model makes Leganes the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Trival Valderas. The most likely score is 1-1. If Leganes wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,963 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Trival Valderas vs Leganes?
On Elo ratings, Trival Valderas has 1,818 points and Leganes 1,881.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Trival Valderas vs Leganes
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Trival Valderas
Not enough data to predict the Trival Valderas lineup.
Leganes
3-4-2-1- 19P. Soko
- 11Naim García
- 17Ismaël Gharbi
- 10Z. Buurmeester
- 8Y. Kechta
- 22Álex Sancris
- 20Miguel Atienza
- 5Ignasi Miquel
- 2Marvel
- 6Lalo Aguilar
- 13L. Zidane
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 05:28 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trival Valderas have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Leganes have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Cala Pozuelo(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano II(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Las Rozas(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Real Aranjuez(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Pozuelo Alarcón(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Cordoba(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Almeria(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cadiz(away) | 0-4 | Segunda División |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Castellón(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Granada CF(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Trival Valderas score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Leganes score 0.8 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trival Valderas | 1.3 | 0.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Leganes | 0.8 | 1.4 | 5 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Trival Valderas vs Leganes?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Trival Valderas vs Leganes?
- The Footlab AI model makes Leganes the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Trival Valderas.
- Where and when is Trival Valderas vs Leganes played?
- Trival Valderas vs Leganes is played on October 28, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Canaleja, in the Copa del Rey.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.