Twente vs Utrecht: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)De Grolsch Veste, Enschede
The Footlab AI model makes Twente the favourite at 70%, against 17% for a draw and 13% for Utrecht. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Twente vs Utrecht?
Twente starts as the favourite with a 134-point Elo edge (2,112 vs 1,978).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Twente vs Utrecht
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Twente
4-2-3-1- 9W. Weghorst
- 6R. Zerrouki
- 27S. Ørjasæter
- 8D. Weidmann
- 10Y. Taha
- 7M. Pjaca
- 28B. van Rooij
- 4R. Nijstad
- 38M. Bruns
- 3R. Pröpper
- 1L. Unnerstall
Utrecht
3-4-3- 11Ángel Alarcón
- 9Artem Stepanov
- 15A. Blake
- 92A. Zagré
- 20D. de Wit
- 34D. van den Berg
- 23N. Vesterlund
- 2S. Horemans
- 3M. Didden
- 5N. Panagiotou
- 1V. Barkas
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:53 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Twente have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Utrecht have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven(home) | 3-2 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | ADO Den Haag(home) | 2-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Telstar(home) | 1-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Groningen(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Cambuur(away) | 4-1 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Feyenoord(away) | 0-5 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Excelsior(away) | 2-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 8, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles(home) | 3-3 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 30, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven(home) | 1-6 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(away) | 3-3 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Twente wins, 1 draw, 3 Utrecht wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Twente 0-2 Utrecht | Eredivisie |
| Jan 13, 2026 | Utrecht 1-2 Twente | KNVB Beker |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Utrecht 1-1 Twente | Eredivisie |
| May 11, 2025 | Twente 2-0 Utrecht | Eredivisie |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Utrecht 2-1 Twente | Eredivisie |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Twente 0-1 Utrecht | Eredivisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Twente score 2.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Utrecht score 1.5 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Twente | 2.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Utrecht | 1.5 | 2.2 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Twente sit 4th in Eredivisie (16 points from 7 matches) and Utrecht sit 15th (5 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Twente | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 16 |
| 15 | Utrecht | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 24 | 5 |
A question about Twente vs Utrecht?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Twente vs Utrecht?
- The Footlab AI model makes Twente the favourite at 70%, against 17% for a draw and 13% for Utrecht.
- Where and when is Twente vs Utrecht played?
- Twente vs Utrecht is played on October 18, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at De Grolsch Veste, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.