Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Kooi Stadion, Leeuwarden
The Footlab AI model makes AZ Alkmaar the favourite at 70%, against 17% for a draw and 13% for Cambuur. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar?
AZ Alkmaar is a heavy favourite: 2,154 Elo points against 1,797, a 357-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cambuur
4-2-3-1- 7S. Bouhoudane
- 8N. Souren
- 10R. El Arguioui
- 11I. Hamache
- 15F. Kvam
- 33M. Maertens
- 4I. Baouf
- 28M. Costarelli
- 14B. van Duijl
- 2D. Bouah
- 1T. Jansen
AZ Alkmaar
4-2-3-1- 9M. Meerdink
- 6P. Koopmeiners
- 11R. Daal
- 21D. Kwakman
- 14C. Stengs
- 8J. Clasie
- 3W. Goes
- 22E. Dijkstra
- 4L. Schouten
- 5M. Chávez
- 28J. De Busser
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 06:34 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cambuur have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; AZ Alkmaar have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | ADO Den Haag(away) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(home) | 3-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Telstar(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Twente(home) | 1-4 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Feyenoord(home) | 2-5 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Telstar(home) | 1-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sunderland(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Willem II(home) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Heerenveen(away) | 3-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 29, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles(home) | 5-2 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Cambuur wins, 2 draws, 4 AZ Alkmaar wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2023 | AZ Alkmaar 2-1 Cambuur | Eredivisie |
| Aug 28, 2022 | Cambuur 0-1 AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie |
| Jan 22, 2022 | AZ Alkmaar 0-0 Cambuur | Eredivisie |
| Oct 3, 2021 | Cambuur 1-3 AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie |
| Mar 2, 2017 | AZ Alkmaar 0-0 Cambuur | KNVB Beker |
| Jan 27, 2016 | AZ Alkmaar 3-1 Cambuur | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: AZ Alkmaar vs Cambuur on Feb 25, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Cambuur score 1.4 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; AZ Alkmaar score 2.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cambuur | 1.4 | 2.2 | 2 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| AZ Alkmaar | 2.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cambuur sit 14th in Eredivisie (5 points from 7 matches) and AZ Alkmaar sit 1st (19 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ Alkmaar | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 6 | 19 |
| 14 | Cambuur | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 5 |
A question about Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar?
- The Footlab AI model makes AZ Alkmaar the favourite at 70%, against 17% for a draw and 13% for Cambuur.
- Where and when is Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar played?
- Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar is played on October 18, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Kooi Stadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.