United Arab Emirates vs Vietnam: prediction and stats
Asian CupGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Hazza Bin Zayed Stadium, Al-'Ayn (Al Ain)
The Footlab model makes United Arab Emirates the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Vietnam. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win United Arab Emirates vs Vietnam?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate United Arab Emirates (1,637) and Vietnam (1,658).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, United Arab Emirates have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Vietnam have 13, 1 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2025 | Morocco(away) | 0-3 | Arab Cup |
| Dec 12, 2025 | Algeria(away) | 1-1 | Arab Cup |
| Dec 9, 2025 | Kuwait(home) | 3-1 | Arab Cup |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Egypt(home) | 1-1 | Arab Cup |
| Dec 3, 2025 | Jordan(away) | 1-2 | Arab Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Thailand(away) | 2-0 | ASEAN Championship |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Malaysia(home) | 2-0 | ASEAN Championship |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Malaysia(away) | 2-0 | ASEAN Championship |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Cambodia(home) | 3-1 | ASEAN Championship |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Indonesia(away) | 3-0 | ASEAN Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 United Arab Emirates win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Vietnam win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 15, 2021 | United Arab Emirates 3-2 Vietnam | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
| Nov 14, 2019 | Vietnam 1-0 United Arab Emirates | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
Last archived meeting: United Arab Emirates vs Vietnam on Jun 15, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
United Arab Emirates score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Vietnam score 2.7 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United Arab Emirates | 1.2 | 1.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Vietnam | 2.7 | 0.5 | 11 | 3/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vietnam | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 2 | 18 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for United Arab Emirates vs Vietnam?
- The Footlab model makes United Arab Emirates the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Vietnam.
- Where and when is United Arab Emirates vs Vietnam played?
- United Arab Emirates vs Vietnam is played on January 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Hazza Bin Zayed Stadium, in the Asian Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.