Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego: prediction and stats
Major League SoccerRegular Season - 35Kick-off on October 29, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC)BC Place, Vancouver, British Columbia
The Footlab model makes Vancouver Whitecaps the favourite at 70%, against 18% for a draw and 12% for San Diego. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego?
Vancouver Whitecaps starts as the favourite with a 112-point Elo edge (1,936 vs 1,824).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vancouver Whitecaps have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; San Diego have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FC Dallas(home) | 5-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Houston Dynamo(home) | 0-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Seattle Sounders(away) | 2-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Tigres UANL(away) | 1-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Juarez(home) | 1-3 | Leagues Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Colorado Rapids(home) | 3-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Portland Timbers(away) | 1-3 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Los Angeles FC(away) | 1-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Puebla(home) | 3-2 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Club Tijuana(home) | 1-0 | Leagues Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Vancouver Whitecaps win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 San Diego win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | San Diego 2-4 Vancouver Whitecaps | Major League Soccer |
| Nov 30, 2025 | San Diego 1-3 Vancouver Whitecaps | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 20, 2025 | San Diego 1-1 Vancouver Whitecaps | Major League Soccer |
| Jun 26, 2025 | Vancouver Whitecaps 3-5 San Diego | Major League Soccer |
Last archived meeting: San Diego vs Vancouver Whitecaps on May 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Vancouver Whitecaps score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; San Diego score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vancouver Whitecaps | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| San Diego | 1.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vancouver Whitecaps sit 1st in Major League Soccer (40 points from 20 matches) and San Diego sit 11th (27 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 45 | 18 | 40 |
| 11 | San Diego | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 37 | 32 | 27 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego?
- The Footlab model makes Vancouver Whitecaps the favourite at 70%, against 18% for a draw and 12% for San Diego.
- Where and when is Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego played?
- Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego is played on October 29, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC) at BC Place, in the Major League Soccer.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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