Match

VfB Stuttgart vs Bayern München: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)MHPArena, Stuttgart

VfB StuttgartBayern München

The Footlab AI model makes Bayern München the favourite at 65%, against 18% for a draw and 17% for VfB Stuttgart. The most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win VfB Stuttgart vs Bayern München?

Bayern München starts as the favourite with a 254-point Elo edge (2,530 vs 2,277).

17%18%65%
VfB Stuttgart winDrawBayern München win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for VfB Stuttgart vs Bayern München

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

VfB Stuttgart

3-4-2-1
  1. 9E. Demirović
  1. 6A. Stiller
  2. 26D. Undav
  3. 10C. Führich
  4. 4J. Vagnoman
  5. 21G. Prömel
  6. 18J. Leweling
  1. 24J. Chabot
  2. 3R. Hendriks
  3. 7M. Mittelstädt
  1. 1F. Bredlow

Bayern München

4-2-3-1
  1. 9H. Kane
  1. 17M. Olise
  2. 6J. Kimmich
  3. 14L. Díaz
  4. 45A. Pavlović
  5. 34I. Saibari
  1. 4J. Tah
  2. 2D. Upamecano
  3. 44J. Stanišić
  4. 19A. Davies
  1. 1M. Neuer

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 02:52 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfB Stuttgart have 10 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats; Bayern München have 11, 3 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

VfB Stuttgart
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 14, 2026Slovan Bratislava(away)3-0UEFA Champions League
Oct 10, 2026SC Paderborn 07(away)2-0Bundesliga
Oct 1, 2026SpVgg Greuther Fürth(home)5-0Friendlies Clubs
Sep 25, 20261. FC Heidenheim(home)3-0Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 2026Borussia Dortmund(home)0-1Bundesliga
Bayern München
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 13, 2026Viking(away)3-3UEFA Champions League
Oct 10, 2026FC Augsburg(away)2-2Bundesliga
Sep 18, 2026Union Berlin(home)7-0Bundesliga
Sep 13, 2026SV Elversberg(away)2-1Bundesliga
Sep 10, 2026Bodo/Glimt(home)5-0UEFA Champions League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 VfB Stuttgart wins, 0 draws, 6 Bayern München wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 28, 2026Bayern München 5-1 VfB StuttgartBundesliga
May 23, 2026Bayern München 3-0 VfB StuttgartDFB Pokal
Apr 19, 2026Bayern München 4-2 VfB StuttgartBundesliga
Dec 6, 2025VfB Stuttgart 0-5 Bayern MünchenBundesliga
Aug 16, 2025VfB Stuttgart 1-2 Bayern MünchenSuper Cup
Feb 28, 2025VfB Stuttgart 1-3 Bayern MünchenBundesliga

Last archived meeting: Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart on Aug 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

VfB Stuttgart score 2.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Bayern München score 3.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
VfB Stuttgart2.91.067/1512/15
Bayern München3.01.1411/1514/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

VfB Stuttgart sit 11th in Bundesliga (6 points from 5 matches) and Bayern München sit 3rd (11 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Bayern München532016411
11VfB Stuttgart5203896

A question about VfB Stuttgart vs Bayern München?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for VfB Stuttgart vs Bayern München?
The Footlab AI model makes Bayern München the favourite at 65%, against 18% for a draw and 17% for VfB Stuttgart.
Where and when is VfB Stuttgart vs Bayern München played?
VfB Stuttgart vs Bayern München is played on January 23, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at MHPArena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: VfB Stuttgart and Bayern München

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