Eintracht Frankfurt vs Union Berlin: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Deutsche Bank Park, Frankfurt am Main
The Footlab model makes Eintracht Frankfurt the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Union Berlin. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eintracht Frankfurt vs Union Berlin?
A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate Eintracht Frankfurt (2,119) and Union Berlin (2,031).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eintracht Frankfurt have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Union Berlin have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | SC St. Tönis(away) | 11-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Brentford(away) | 0-7 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | FSV Frankfurt(away) | 5-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hull City(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Waldhof Mannheim(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Eintracht Braunschweig(away) | 4-2 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ipswich(home) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Aris(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Cagliari(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Dynamo Dresden(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Eintracht Frankfurt win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Union Berlin win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2026 | Union Berlin 1-1 Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Eintracht Frankfurt 3-4 Union Berlin | Bundesliga |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Eintracht Frankfurt 1-2 Union Berlin | Bundesliga |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Union Berlin 1-1 Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Eintracht Frankfurt 0-0 Union Berlin | Bundesliga |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Union Berlin 0-3 Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: Union Berlin vs Eintracht Frankfurt on Feb 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Eintracht Frankfurt score 3.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Union Berlin score 2.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 3.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Union Berlin | 2.5 | 1.9 | 1 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Eintracht Frankfurt sit 8th in Bundesliga (44 points from 34 matches) and Union Berlin sit 11th (39 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 61 | 65 | 44 |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 58 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eintracht Frankfurt vs Union Berlin?
- The Footlab model makes Eintracht Frankfurt the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Union Berlin.
- Where and when is Eintracht Frankfurt vs Union Berlin played?
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs Union Berlin is played on January 23, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Deutsche Bank Park, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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