Where and when is Werder Bremen vs SC Freiburg played?

Werder Bremen vs SC Freiburg is played on January 23, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Weserstadion, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Werder Bremen vs SC Freiburg: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Weserstadion, Bremen

Werder Bremen

SC Freiburg

The Footlab model makes SC Freiburg the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Werder Bremen. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Werder Bremen vs SC Freiburg?

SC Freiburg starts as the favourite with a 154-point Elo edge (2,195 vs 2,041).

Werder Bremen win35 %

Draw25 %

SC Freiburg win40 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Werder Bremen have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; SC Freiburg have 9, 1 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Werder Bremen
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Lüneburger SK Hansa(away)	3-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Auxerre(home)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	SC Paderborn 07(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Energie Cottbus(away)	4-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	VfL Bochum(home)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs

SC Freiburg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Fortuna Düsseldorf(away)	5-1	DFB Pokal
Aug 20, 2026	Motherwell(away)	3-1	UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 15, 2026	Crystal Palace(home)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Strasbourg(home)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 24, 2026	Derby(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Werder Bremen win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 SC Freiburg win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 7, 2026	SC Freiburg 1-0 Werder Bremen	Bundesliga
Sep 20, 2025	Werder Bremen 0-3 SC Freiburg	Bundesliga
Feb 21, 2025	SC Freiburg 5-0 Werder Bremen	Bundesliga
Oct 5, 2024	Werder Bremen 0-1 SC Freiburg	Bundesliga
Jan 27, 2024	Werder Bremen 3-1 SC Freiburg	Bundesliga
Aug 26, 2023	SC Freiburg 1-0 Werder Bremen	Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen on Feb 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Werder Bremen score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; SC Freiburg score 2.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Werder Bremen	1.8	1.3	4	8/15	8/15
SC Freiburg	2.2	1.5	2	11/15	13/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Werder Bremen sit 15th in Bundesliga (32 points from 34 matches) and SC Freiburg sit 7th (47 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	SC Freiburg	34	13	8	13	51	57	47
15	Werder Bremen	34	8	8	18	37	60	32

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Werder Bremen vs SC Freiburg?: The Footlab model makes SC Freiburg the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Werder Bremen.
Where and when is Werder Bremen vs SC Freiburg played?: Werder Bremen vs SC Freiburg is played on January 23, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Weserstadion, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.