Match

Werder Bremen vs SC Freiburg: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Weserstadion, Bremen

Werder BremenSC Freiburg

The Footlab AI model makes SC Freiburg the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Werder Bremen. The most likely score is 1-1. If SC Freiburg wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,846 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Werder Bremen vs SC Freiburg?

SC Freiburg starts as the favourite with a 156-point Elo edge (2,263 vs 2,107).

34%24%42%
Werder Bremen winDrawSC Freiburg win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Werder Bremen vs SC Freiburg

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Werder Bremen

4-2-3-1
  1. 10N. Füllkrug
  1. 15L. Reis
  2. 20Chuky San José
  3. 17M. Grüll
  4. 44Y. Regeer
  5. 18E. Dinkçi
  1. 2O. Deman
  2. 32M. Friedl
  3. 5A. Pieper
  4. 13Arthur
  1. 1K. Hein

SC Freiburg

4-2-3-1
  1. 31I. Matanović
  1. 8M. Eggestein
  2. 19J. Beste
  3. 16Y. Engelhardt
  4. 7D. Scherhant
  5. 14Y. Suzuki
  1. 28M. Ginter
  2. 3P. Lienhart
  3. 33J. Makengo
  4. 29P. Treu
  1. 1M. Backhaus

Computed on October 19, 2026 at 09:02 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Werder Bremen have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; SC Freiburg have 12, 1 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Werder Bremen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026SC Paderborn 07(home)2-2Bundesliga
Oct 9, 2026Borussia Dortmund(away)2-2Bundesliga
Sep 19, 2026FC Augsburg(home)3-2Bundesliga
Sep 12, 20261. FC Köln(away)1-1Bundesliga
Sep 5, 2026RB Leipzig(home)3-1Bundesliga
SC Freiburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Bayer Leverkusen(away)1-2Bundesliga
Oct 15, 2026FK Jablonec(home)3-2UEFA Europa Conference League
Oct 11, 2026FC Schalke 04(home)2-1Bundesliga
Oct 3, 2026FC Luzern(home)4-2Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt(away)2-2Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Werder Bremen win, 0 draws, 5 SC Freiburg wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 30, 2026SC Freiburg 4-1 Werder BremenBundesliga
Feb 7, 2026SC Freiburg 1-0 Werder BremenBundesliga
Sep 20, 2025Werder Bremen 0-3 SC FreiburgBundesliga
Feb 21, 2025SC Freiburg 5-0 Werder BremenBundesliga
Oct 5, 2024Werder Bremen 0-1 SC FreiburgBundesliga
Jan 27, 2024Werder Bremen 3-1 SC FreiburgBundesliga

Last archived meeting: SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen on Aug 30, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Werder Bremen score 2.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; SC Freiburg score 2.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Werder Bremen2.11.539/159/15
SC Freiburg2.81.1410/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Werder Bremen sit 8th in Bundesliga (9 points from 6 matches) and SC Freiburg sit 3rd (13 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3SC Freiburg641115613
8Werder Bremen623112129

A question about Werder Bremen vs SC Freiburg?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Werder Bremen vs SC Freiburg?
The Footlab AI model makes SC Freiburg the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Werder Bremen.
Where and when is Werder Bremen vs SC Freiburg played?
Werder Bremen vs SC Freiburg is played on January 23, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Weserstadion, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Werder Bremen and SC Freiburg

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