FC Schalke 04 vs FC Augsburg: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Arena AufSchalke, Gelsenkirchen
The Footlab model makes FC Schalke 04 the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for FC Augsburg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Schalke 04 vs FC Augsburg?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate FC Schalke 04 (2,062) and FC Augsburg (2,071).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Schalke 04 have 11 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats; FC Augsburg have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Hallescher FC(away) | 5-2 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Real Madrid(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atalanta(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hessen Kassel(away) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Fagiano Okayama(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Energie Cottbus(away) | 2-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leeds(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sassuolo(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Schwaz(away) | 15-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Bournemouth(home) | 2-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 FC Schalke 04 win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 FC Augsburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2024 | FC Augsburg 3-0 FC Schalke 04 | DFB Pokal |
| Mar 18, 2023 | FC Augsburg 1-1 FC Schalke 04 | Bundesliga |
| Oct 2, 2022 | FC Schalke 04 2-3 FC Augsburg | Bundesliga |
| Jul 17, 2022 | FC Augsburg 1-1 FC Schalke 04 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 11, 2021 | FC Schalke 04 1-0 FC Augsburg | Bundesliga |
| Dec 13, 2020 | FC Augsburg 2-2 FC Schalke 04 | Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: FC Augsburg vs FC Schalke 04 on Oct 29, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
FC Schalke 04 score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; FC Augsburg score 2.5 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| FC Augsburg | 2.5 | 2.0 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 61 | 43 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Schalke 04 vs FC Augsburg?
- The Footlab model makes FC Schalke 04 the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for FC Augsburg.
- Where and when is FC Schalke 04 vs FC Augsburg played?
- FC Schalke 04 vs FC Augsburg is played on January 23, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Arena AufSchalke, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 23, 2027Werder BremenvsSC Freiburg
- Jan 23, 2027Borussia MönchengladbachvsRB Leipzig
- Jan 23, 20271899 Hoffenheimvs1. FC Köln
- Jan 23, 2027Bayer LeverkusenvsSV Elversberg
- Jan 23, 2027Eintracht FrankfurtvsUnion Berlin
- Jan 23, 2027VfB StuttgartvsBayern München
- Jan 23, 2027Hamburger SVvsBorussia Dortmund
- Jan 23, 2027SC Paderborn 07vsFSV Mainz 05