Borussia Mönchengladbach vs RB Leipzig: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)BORUSSIA-PARK, Mönchengladbach
The Footlab model makes Borussia Mönchengladbach the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for RB Leipzig. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Borussia Mönchengladbach vs RB Leipzig?
RB Leipzig starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (2,209 vs 2,107).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Borussia Mönchengladbach have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; RB Leipzig have 10, 0 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Schott Mainz(away) | 5-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Aston Villa(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | SSVg Velbert(away) | 8-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hansa Rostock(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Essen(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Eintracht Trier(away) | 6-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bayern München(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Leeds(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Verl(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FC Ingolstadt 04(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Borussia Mönchengladbach win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 RB Leipzig win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | RB Leipzig 1-0 Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga |
| Nov 28, 2025 | Borussia Mönchengladbach 0-0 RB Leipzig | Bundesliga |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Borussia Mönchengladbach 1-0 RB Leipzig | Bundesliga |
| Nov 9, 2024 | RB Leipzig 0-0 Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga |
| Feb 17, 2024 | RB Leipzig 2-0 Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Borussia Mönchengladbach 0-1 RB Leipzig | Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Borussia Mönchengladbach score 2.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; RB Leipzig score 2.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Mönchengladbach | 2.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| RB Leipzig | 2.2 | 1.4 | 5 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Borussia Mönchengladbach sit 12th in Bundesliga (38 points from 34 matches) and RB Leipzig sit 3rd (65 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 66 | 47 | 65 |
| 12 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42 | 53 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Borussia Mönchengladbach vs RB Leipzig?
- The Footlab model makes Borussia Mönchengladbach the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for RB Leipzig.
- Where and when is Borussia Mönchengladbach vs RB Leipzig played?
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs RB Leipzig is played on January 23, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at BORUSSIA-PARK, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 23, 2027Werder BremenvsSC Freiburg
- Jan 23, 20271899 Hoffenheimvs1. FC Köln
- Jan 23, 2027Bayer LeverkusenvsSV Elversberg
- Jan 23, 2027Eintracht FrankfurtvsUnion Berlin
- Jan 23, 2027VfB StuttgartvsBayern München
- Jan 23, 2027FC Schalke 04vsFC Augsburg
- Jan 23, 2027Hamburger SVvsBorussia Dortmund
- Jan 23, 2027SC Paderborn 07vsFSV Mainz 05