Match

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs RB Leipzig: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)BORUSSIA-PARK, Mönchengladbach

Borussia MönchengladbachRB Leipzig

The Footlab model makes Borussia Mönchengladbach the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for RB Leipzig. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Borussia Mönchengladbach vs RB Leipzig?

RB Leipzig starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (2,209 vs 2,107).

Borussia Mönchengladbach win41 %
Draw24 %
RB Leipzig win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Borussia Mönchengladbach have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; RB Leipzig have 10, 0 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Borussia Mönchengladbach
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Schott Mainz(away)5-0DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026Aston Villa(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 12, 2026SSVg Velbert(away)8-0Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026Hansa Rostock(away)3-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Rot-Weiß Essen(away)2-1Friendlies Clubs
RB Leipzig
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Eintracht Trier(away)6-0DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026Bayern München(away)1-3Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026Leeds(away)0-2Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026Verl(home)4-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026FC Ingolstadt 04(home)1-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Borussia Mönchengladbach win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 RB Leipzig win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 11, 2026RB Leipzig 1-0 Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga
Nov 28, 2025Borussia Mönchengladbach 0-0 RB LeipzigBundesliga
Mar 29, 2025Borussia Mönchengladbach 1-0 RB LeipzigBundesliga
Nov 9, 2024RB Leipzig 0-0 Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga
Feb 17, 2024RB Leipzig 2-0 Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga
Sep 23, 2023Borussia Mönchengladbach 0-1 RB LeipzigBundesliga

Last archived meeting: RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach on Apr 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Borussia Mönchengladbach score 2.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; RB Leipzig score 2.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Borussia Mönchengladbach2.90.968/1511/15
RB Leipzig2.21.459/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Borussia Mönchengladbach sit 12th in Bundesliga (38 points from 34 matches) and RB Leipzig sit 3rd (65 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3RB Leipzig342059664765
12Borussia Mönchengladbach3491114425338

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Borussia Mönchengladbach vs RB Leipzig?
The Footlab model makes Borussia Mönchengladbach the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for RB Leipzig.
Where and when is Borussia Mönchengladbach vs RB Leipzig played?
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs RB Leipzig is played on January 23, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at BORUSSIA-PARK, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Borussia Mönchengladbach and RB Leipzig

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