Match

Bayer Leverkusen vs SV Elversberg: prediction and stats

BundesligaMatchday 18Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)BayArena, Leverkusen

Bayer LeverkusenSV Elversberg

The Footlab AI model makes Bayer Leverkusen the favourite at 71%, against 17% for a draw and 12% for SV Elversberg. The most likely score is 2-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,522 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bayer Leverkusen vs SV Elversberg?

Bayer Leverkusen starts as the favourite with a 172-point Elo edge (2,259 vs 2,088).

71%17%12%
Bayer Leverkusen winDrawSV Elversberg win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Bayer Leverkusen vs SV Elversberg

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Bayer Leverkusen

4-2-3-1
  1. 14P. Schick
  1. 24Aleix García
  2. 30I. Maza
  3. 6E. Fernández
  4. 9Afonso Moreira
  5. 10M. Tillman
  1. 2F. Medina
  2. 12E. Tapsoba
  3. 3Miguel Gutiérrez
  4. 4J. Quansah
  1. 1M. Flekken

SV Elversberg

4-2-3-1
  1. 42D. Mokwa
  1. 8Ł. Poręba
  2. 25L. Petkov
  3. 43F. Keidel
  4. 7M. Krattenmacher
  5. 40Francis-Ikechukwu Onyeka
  1. 21L. Günther
  2. 19L. Pinckert
  3. 31M. Rohr
  4. 26L. Sirch
  1. 20N. Kristof

Computed on November 12, 2026 at 08:16 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bayer Leverkusen have 10 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats; SV Elversberg have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bayer Leverkusen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 20261. FC Köln(away)2-1Bundesliga
Nov 5, 2026Marseille(home)0-1UEFA Europa League
Oct 31, 2026VfB Stuttgart(home)2-4Bundesliga
Oct 28, 20261. FC Nürnberg(home)5-2DFB Pokal
Oct 25, 20261899 Hoffenheim(away)0-3Bundesliga
SV Elversberg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Borussia Dortmund(away)1-2Bundesliga
Oct 30, 2026FSV Mainz 05(home)4-1Bundesliga
Oct 27, 2026SV Darmstadt 98(home)0-2DFB Pokal
Oct 24, 2026RB Leipzig(away)0-4Bundesliga
Oct 17, 2026FC Augsburg(home)4-3Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Bayer Leverkusen win, 0 draws, 2 SV Elversberg wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 29, 2026SV Elversberg 3-2 Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga
Oct 29, 2024Bayer Leverkusen 3-0 SV ElversbergDFB Pokal
Jul 30, 2022SV Elversberg 4-3 Bayer LeverkusenDFB Pokal

Last archived meeting: SV Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen on Aug 29, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Bayer Leverkusen score 2.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; SV Elversberg score 2.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Bayer Leverkusen2.51.367/1511/15
SV Elversberg2.11.7210/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bayer Leverkusen sit 5th in Bundesliga (16 points from 9 matches) and SV Elversberg sit 7th (13 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Bayer Leverkusen9513201716
7SV Elversberg9414171813

A question about Bayer Leverkusen vs SV Elversberg?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bayer Leverkusen vs SV Elversberg?
The Footlab AI model makes Bayer Leverkusen the favourite at 71%, against 17% for a draw and 12% for SV Elversberg.
Where and when is Bayer Leverkusen vs SV Elversberg played?
Bayer Leverkusen vs SV Elversberg is played on January 23, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at BayArena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Bayer Leverkusen and SV Elversberg