Where and when is 1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayern München played?

1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayern München is played on December 12, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at PreZero Arena, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 78% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayern München: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 13Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)PreZero Arena, Sinsheim

1899 Hoffenheim

Bayern München

The Footlab model makes Bayern München the favourite at 62%, against 18% for a draw and 20% for 1899 Hoffenheim. The most likely score is 1-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win 1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayern München?

Bayern München is a heavy favourite: 2,527 Elo points against 2,163 — a 363-point gap.

1899 Hoffenheim win20 %

Draw18 %

Bayern München win62 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1899 Hoffenheim have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Bayern München have 11, 2 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

1899 Hoffenheim
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Erzgebirge Aue(away)	4-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026	Tottenham(away)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Karlsruher SC(home)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026	Holstein Kiel(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	SGV Freiberg(away)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs

Bayern München
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Borussia Dortmund(away)	2-1	Super Cup
Aug 18, 2026	1. FC Heidenheim(away)	4-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026	RB Leipzig(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 7, 2026	Aston Villa(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 4, 2026	Jeju United FC(away)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 1899 Hoffenheim win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Bayern München win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 8, 2026	Bayern München 5-1 1899 Hoffenheim	Bundesliga
Sep 20, 2025	1899 Hoffenheim 1-4 Bayern München	Bundesliga
May 17, 2025	1899 Hoffenheim 0-4 Bayern München	Bundesliga
Jan 15, 2025	Bayern München 5-0 1899 Hoffenheim	Bundesliga
May 18, 2024	1899 Hoffenheim 4-2 Bayern München	Bundesliga
Jan 12, 2024	Bayern München 3-0 1899 Hoffenheim	Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Bayern München vs 1899 Hoffenheim on Feb 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

1899 Hoffenheim score 1.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Bayern München score 2.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 78% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
1899 Hoffenheim	1.9	1.9	4	8/15	13/15
Bayern München	2.7	1.5	3	12/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

1899 Hoffenheim sit 5th in Bundesliga (61 points from 34 matches) and Bayern München sit 1st (89 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bayern München	34	28	5	1	122	36	89
5	1899 Hoffenheim	34	18	7	9	65	52	61

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for 1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayern München?: The Footlab model makes Bayern München the favourite at 62%, against 18% for a draw and 20% for 1899 Hoffenheim.
Where and when is 1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayern München played?: 1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayern München is played on December 12, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at PreZero Arena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 78% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.