Where and when is SC Paderborn 07 vs SV Elversberg played?

SC Paderborn 07 vs SV Elversberg is played on December 12, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Home Deluxe Arena, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

SC Paderborn 07 vs SV Elversberg: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 13Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn

SC Paderborn 07

SV Elversberg

The Footlab model makes SC Paderborn 07 the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for SV Elversberg. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SC Paderborn 07 vs SV Elversberg?

A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate SC Paderborn 07 (2,092) and SV Elversberg (2,098).

SC Paderborn 07 win40 %

Draw23 %

SV Elversberg win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SC Paderborn 07 have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; SV Elversberg have 8, 4 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SC Paderborn 07
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Phönix Lübeck(away)	4-2	DFB Pokal
Aug 8, 2026	Werder Bremen(away)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	VfL Osnabrück(away)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 25, 2026	VfL Wolfsburg(home)	2-1	Bundesliga
May 21, 2026	VfL Wolfsburg(away)	0-0	Bundesliga

SV Elversberg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	MSV Duisburg(away)	3-1	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Lorient(home)	4-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Mallorca(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 4, 2026	Strasbourg(away)	5-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	NEC Nijmegen(away)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 SC Paderborn 07 win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 SV Elversberg win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	SV Elversberg 5-1 SC Paderborn 07	2. Bundesliga
Dec 6, 2025	SC Paderborn 07 1-2 SV Elversberg	2. Bundesliga
Apr 26, 2025	SC Paderborn 07 1-1 SV Elversberg	2. Bundesliga
Nov 30, 2024	SV Elversberg 1-3 SC Paderborn 07	2. Bundesliga
Apr 27, 2024	SC Paderborn 07 3-1 SV Elversberg	2. Bundesliga
Nov 25, 2023	SV Elversberg 4-1 SC Paderborn 07	2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: SV Elversberg vs SC Paderborn 07 on May 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

SC Paderborn 07 score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; SV Elversberg score 2.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
SC Paderborn 07	1.9	1.5	4	11/15	9/15
SV Elversberg	2.5	1.2	4	11/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SC Paderborn 07 vs SV Elversberg?: The Footlab model makes SC Paderborn 07 the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for SV Elversberg.
Where and when is SC Paderborn 07 vs SV Elversberg played?: SC Paderborn 07 vs SV Elversberg is played on December 12, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Home Deluxe Arena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.