Match

Werder Bremen vs Bayer Leverkusen: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 13Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Weserstadion, Bremen

Werder BremenBayer Leverkusen

The Footlab AI model makes Bayer Leverkusen the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Werder Bremen. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bayer Leverkusen wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,677 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Werder Bremen vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Bayer Leverkusen starts as the favourite with a 208-point Elo edge (2,305 vs 2,097).

34%23%43%
Werder Bremen winDrawBayer Leverkusen win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Werder Bremen vs Bayer Leverkusen

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Werder Bremen

4-2-3-1
  1. 10N. Füllkrug
  1. 15L. Reis
  2. 20Chuky San José
  3. 17M. Grüll
  4. 44Y. Regeer
  5. 18E. Dinkçi
  1. 2O. Deman
  2. 32M. Friedl
  3. 5A. Pieper
  4. 13Arthur
  1. 1K. Hein

Bayer Leverkusen

4-2-3-1
  1. 14P. Schick
  1. 24Aleix García
  2. 6E. Fernández
  3. 30I. Maza
  4. 19M. Diaby
  5. 9Afonso Moreira
  1. 2F. Medina
  2. 4J. Quansah
  3. 12E. Tapsoba
  4. 3Miguel Gutiérrez
  1. 1M. Flekken

Computed on October 27, 2026 at 11:35 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Werder Bremen have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Bayer Leverkusen have 11, 1 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Werder Bremen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2026FSV Mainz 05(away)3-2Bundesliga
Oct 17, 2026SC Paderborn 07(home)2-2Bundesliga
Oct 9, 2026Borussia Dortmund(away)2-2Bundesliga
Sep 19, 2026FC Augsburg(home)3-2Bundesliga
Sep 12, 20261. FC Köln(away)1-1Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 25, 20261899 Hoffenheim(away)0-3Bundesliga
Oct 22, 2026OFI(away)2-0UEFA Europa League
Oct 18, 2026SC Freiburg(home)2-1Bundesliga
Oct 15, 2026Lech Poznan(away)4-0UEFA Europa League
Oct 10, 2026FSV Mainz 05(away)4-3Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Werder Bremen win, 2 draws, 3 Bayer Leverkusen wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 24, 2026Bayer Leverkusen 1-0 Werder BremenBundesliga
Aug 30, 2025Werder Bremen 3-3 Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga
Mar 8, 2025Bayer Leverkusen 0-2 Werder BremenBundesliga
Oct 26, 2024Werder Bremen 2-2 Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga
Apr 14, 2024Bayer Leverkusen 5-0 Werder BremenBundesliga
Nov 25, 2023Werder Bremen 0-3 Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga

Last archived meeting: Bayer Leverkusen vs Werder Bremen on Jan 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Werder Bremen score 2.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Bayer Leverkusen score 2.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Werder Bremen2.31.5310/1510/15
Bayer Leverkusen2.41.177/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Werder Bremen sit 6th in Bundesliga (12 points from 7 matches) and Bayer Leverkusen sit 4th (13 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Bayer Leverkusen7412161213
6Werder Bremen7331151412

A question about Werder Bremen vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Werder Bremen vs Bayer Leverkusen?
The Footlab AI model makes Bayer Leverkusen the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Werder Bremen.
Where and when is Werder Bremen vs Bayer Leverkusen played?
Werder Bremen vs Bayer Leverkusen is played on December 12, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Weserstadion, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Werder Bremen and Bayer Leverkusen

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