Where and when is Werder Bremen vs Bayer Leverkusen played?

Werder Bremen vs Bayer Leverkusen is played on December 12, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Weserstadion, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Werder Bremen vs Bayer Leverkusen: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 13Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Weserstadion, Bremen

Werder Bremen

Bayer Leverkusen

The Footlab model makes Bayer Leverkusen the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Werder Bremen. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Werder Bremen vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Bayer Leverkusen starts as the favourite with a 245-point Elo edge (2,286 vs 2,041).

Werder Bremen win25 %

Draw23 %

Bayer Leverkusen win51 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Werder Bremen have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Bayer Leverkusen have 10, 1 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Werder Bremen
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Lüneburger SK Hansa(away)	3-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Auxerre(home)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	SC Paderborn 07(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Energie Cottbus(away)	4-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	VfL Bochum(home)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs

Bayer Leverkusen
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	SV Wehen(away)	4-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Newcastle(away)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 12, 2026	Nottingham Forest(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Sevilla(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Rot-Weiß Essen(home)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Werder Bremen win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Bayer Leverkusen win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 24, 2026	Bayer Leverkusen 1-0 Werder Bremen	Bundesliga
Aug 30, 2025	Werder Bremen 3-3 Bayer Leverkusen	Bundesliga
Mar 8, 2025	Bayer Leverkusen 0-2 Werder Bremen	Bundesliga
Oct 26, 2024	Werder Bremen 2-2 Bayer Leverkusen	Bundesliga
Apr 14, 2024	Bayer Leverkusen 5-0 Werder Bremen	Bundesliga
Nov 25, 2023	Werder Bremen 0-3 Bayer Leverkusen	Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Bayer Leverkusen vs Werder Bremen on Jan 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Werder Bremen score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bayer Leverkusen score 2.4 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Werder Bremen	1.8	1.3	4	8/15	8/15
Bayer Leverkusen	2.4	1.0	5	9/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Werder Bremen sit 15th in Bundesliga (32 points from 34 matches) and Bayer Leverkusen sit 6th (59 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Bayer Leverkusen	34	17	8	9	68	47	59
15	Werder Bremen	34	8	8	18	37	60	32

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Werder Bremen vs Bayer Leverkusen?: The Footlab model makes Bayer Leverkusen the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Werder Bremen.
Where and when is Werder Bremen vs Bayer Leverkusen played?: Werder Bremen vs Bayer Leverkusen is played on December 12, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Weserstadion, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.