Vipers vs Nouadhibou: prediction and stats
CAF Champions LeagueSemi-finalsKick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)St. Mary's Stadium, Kitende
The Footlab model makes Vipers the favourite at 45%, against 32% for a draw and 24% for Nouadhibou. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vipers vs Nouadhibou?
A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate Vipers (1,751) and Nouadhibou (1,849).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vipers have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats; Nouadhibou have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 | APR(away) | 1-2 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Jul 27, 2026 | GOR Mahia(away) | 1-0 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Al-Haras Al-Jumhuri(home) | 3-0 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| May 23, 2026 | Express(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| May 19, 2026 | Maroons(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Inter Nouakchott(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | Nouakchott King's(away) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Police(home) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| May 4, 2026 | AC Douane(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Kaédi(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Vipers score 1.5 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Nouadhibou score 2.1 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vipers | 1.5 | 0.5 | 9 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Nouadhibou | 2.1 | 0.7 | 9 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vipers vs Nouadhibou?
- The Footlab model makes Vipers the favourite at 45%, against 32% for a draw and 24% for Nouadhibou.
- Where and when is Vipers vs Nouadhibou played?
- Vipers vs Nouadhibou is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at St. Mary's Stadium, in the CAF Champions League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.