Vissel Kobe vs Yokohama F. Marinos: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 20Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)NOEVIR Stadium Kobe, Kobe
The Footlab model makes Vissel Kobe the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Yokohama F. Marinos. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vissel Kobe vs Yokohama F. Marinos?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Vissel Kobe (2,044) and Yokohama F. Marinos (1,976).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vissel Kobe have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Yokohama F. Marinos have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Veroskronos Tsuno(home) | 2-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Yokohama F. Marinos(away) | 0-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Tokyo(home) | 2-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Avispa Fukuoka(away) | 1-0 | J1 League |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Imabari(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Fukushima United(home) | 1-0 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Vissel Kobe(home) | 1-0 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Shimizu S-pulse(away) | 1-0 | J1 League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Kashima(home) | 3-4 | J1 League |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Roasso Kumamoto(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Vissel Kobe win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Yokohama F. Marinos win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Yokohama F. Marinos 1-0 Vissel Kobe | J1 League |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Vissel Kobe 1-0 Yokohama F. Marinos | J1 League |
| May 21, 2025 | Yokohama F. Marinos 1-2 Vissel Kobe | J1 League |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Yokohama F. Marinos 1-2 Vissel Kobe | J1 League |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Vissel Kobe 1-2 Yokohama F. Marinos | J1 League |
| Sep 29, 2023 | Yokohama F. Marinos 0-2 Vissel Kobe | J1 League |
Last archived meeting: Yokohama F. Marinos vs Vissel Kobe on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Vissel Kobe score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Yokohama F. Marinos score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vissel Kobe | 1.2 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Yokohama F. Marinos | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vissel Kobe sit 8th in J1 League (4 points from 3 matches) and Yokohama F. Marinos sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 8 | Vissel Kobe | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vissel Kobe vs Yokohama F. Marinos?
- The Footlab model makes Vissel Kobe the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Yokohama F. Marinos.
- Where and when is Vissel Kobe vs Yokohama F. Marinos played?
- Vissel Kobe vs Yokohama F. Marinos is played on December 19, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at NOEVIR Stadium Kobe, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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