Mito Hollyhock vs FC Tokyo: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 20Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)K’s Denki Stadium, Mito
The Footlab model makes FC Tokyo the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Mito Hollyhock. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mito Hollyhock vs FC Tokyo?
FC Tokyo starts as the favourite with a 172-point Elo edge (2,003 vs 1,832).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mito Hollyhock have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; FC Tokyo have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Kyoto Sangyo University(home) | 0-2 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kyoto Sanga(away) | 3-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gamba Osaka(home) | 1-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kashiwa Reysol(away) | 1-2 | J1 League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | V-varen Nagasaki(home) | 0-1 | J1 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Parceiro Nagano(home) | 6-0 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 21, 2026 | JEF United Chiba(home) | 2-0 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Vissel Kobe(away) | 2-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Machida Zelvia(home) | 1-5 | J1 League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Mito Hollyhock win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 FC Tokyo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | FC Tokyo 5-2 Mito Hollyhock | J1 League |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Mito Hollyhock 1-1 FC Tokyo | J1 League |
| Oct 12, 2024 | FC Tokyo 2-3 Mito Hollyhock | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 11, 2015 | FC Tokyo 2-0 Mito Hollyhock | Emperor Cup |
Last archived meeting: FC Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock on Apr 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mito Hollyhock score 1.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; FC Tokyo score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mito Hollyhock | 1.0 | 1.9 | 1 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| FC Tokyo | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mito Hollyhock sit 7th in J1 League (4 points from 3 matches) and FC Tokyo sit 11th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Mito Hollyhock | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 11 | FC Tokyo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mito Hollyhock vs FC Tokyo?
- The Footlab model makes FC Tokyo the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Mito Hollyhock.
- Where and when is Mito Hollyhock vs FC Tokyo played?
- Mito Hollyhock vs FC Tokyo is played on December 19, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at K’s Denki Stadium, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 19, 2026V-varen NagasakivsUrawa
- Dec 19, 2026Nagoya GrampusvsSanfrecce Hiroshima
- Dec 19, 2026Vissel KobevsYokohama F. Marinos
- Dec 19, 2026KashimavsTokyo Verdy
- Dec 19, 2026Gamba OsakavsMachida Zelvia
- Dec 19, 2026Kawasaki FrontalevsKashiwa Reysol
- Dec 19, 2026JEF United ChibavsCerezo Osaka
- Dec 19, 2026Kyoto SangavsFagiano Okayama