Kyoto Sanga vs Yokohama F. Marinos: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Sanga Stadium by Kyocera, Kameoka
The Footlab model makes Yokohama F. Marinos the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Kyoto Sanga. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kyoto Sanga vs Yokohama F. Marinos?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Kyoto Sanga (1,907) and Yokohama F. Marinos (1,976).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kyoto Sanga have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Yokohama F. Marinos have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Maruyasu Okazaki(home) | 1-0 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mito Hollyhock(home) | 1-3 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kawasaki Frontale(away) | 2-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | V-varen Nagasaki(away) | 1-2 | J1 League |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Shonan Bellmare(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Fukushima United(home) | 1-0 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Vissel Kobe(home) | 1-0 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Shimizu S-pulse(away) | 1-0 | J1 League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Kashima(home) | 3-4 | J1 League |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Roasso Kumamoto(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Kyoto Sanga win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Yokohama F. Marinos win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2025 | Kyoto Sanga 0-3 Yokohama F. Marinos | J1 League |
| May 17, 2025 | Yokohama F. Marinos 0-3 Kyoto Sanga | J1 League |
| Sep 13, 2024 | Yokohama F. Marinos 1-2 Kyoto Sanga | J1 League |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Kyoto Sanga 2-3 Yokohama F. Marinos | J1 League |
| Dec 3, 2023 | Kyoto Sanga 3-1 Yokohama F. Marinos | J1 League |
| May 7, 2023 | Yokohama F. Marinos 4-1 Kyoto Sanga | J1 League |
Last archived meeting: Kyoto Sanga vs Yokohama F. Marinos on Nov 9, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Kyoto Sanga score 0.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Yokohama F. Marinos score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyoto Sanga | 0.9 | 2.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Yokohama F. Marinos | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kyoto Sanga sit 18th in J1 League (1 points from 3 matches) and Yokohama F. Marinos sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 18 | Kyoto Sanga | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kyoto Sanga vs Yokohama F. Marinos?
- The Footlab model makes Yokohama F. Marinos the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Kyoto Sanga.
- Where and when is Kyoto Sanga vs Yokohama F. Marinos played?
- Kyoto Sanga vs Yokohama F. Marinos is played on February 13, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Sanga Stadium by Kyocera, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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