Match

Gamba Osaka vs Machida Zelvia: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 20Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Saitama Stadium 2002, Saitama

Gamba OsakaMachida Zelvia

The Footlab AI model makes Machida Zelvia the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Gamba Osaka. The most likely score is 1-1. If Machida Zelvia wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,428 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gamba Osaka vs Machida Zelvia?

Machida Zelvia starts as the favourite with a 127-point Elo edge (2,172 vs 2,045).

26%25%49%
Gamba Osaka winDrawMachida Zelvia win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Gamba Osaka vs Machida Zelvia

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Gamba Osaka

4-2-3-1
  1. 11I. Jebali
  1. 17R. Yamashita
  2. 27R. Mito
  3. 7T. Usami
  4. 13S. Abe
  5. 97Welton Felipe
  1. 4S. Nakatani
  2. 2S. Fukuoka
  3. 47S. Nakano
  4. 15T. Kishimoto
  1. 22J. Ichimori

Machida Zelvia

3-4-2-1
  1. 99T. Yengi
  1. 9Koki Ogawa
  2. 16H. Mae
  3. 7Y. Soma
  4. 33T. Akimoto
  5. 6H. Mochizuki
  6. 31N. Lavi
  1. 50D. Okamura
  2. 3G. Shōji
  3. 2T. Ouwejan
  1. 1K. Tani

Computed on October 25, 2026 at 09:57 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gamba Osaka have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Machida Zelvia have 10, 4 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gamba Osaka
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2026Kyoto Sanga(home)2-2J1 League
Oct 21, 2026Avispa Fukuoka(away)2-1J1 League
Oct 17, 2026Shimizu S-pulse(away)2-2J1 League
Oct 13, 2026Newcastle Jets(away)3-1AFC Champions League Elite
Oct 9, 2026Kashima(away)0-2J1 League
Machida Zelvia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2026Vissel Kobe(away)0-0J1 League
Oct 21, 2026Shimizu S-pulse(away)5-0J1 League
Oct 18, 2026Avispa Fukuoka(home)3-0J1 League
Oct 15, 2026Tampines Rovers(away)1-0AFC Champions League Two
Oct 10, 2026Kyoto Sanga(away)1-0J1 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Gamba Osaka wins, 1 draw, 3 Machida Zelvia wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 15, 2026Gamba Osaka 3-2 Machida ZelviaFriendlies Clubs
Aug 20, 2025Machida Zelvia 3-1 Gamba OsakaJ1 League
Apr 2, 2025Gamba Osaka 0-1 Machida ZelviaJ1 League
Jun 30, 2024Gamba Osaka 1-3 Machida ZelviaJ1 League
Feb 24, 2024Machida Zelvia 1-1 Gamba OsakaJ1 League
Dec 15, 2012Gamba Osaka 3-2 Machida ZelviaEmperor Cup

Last archived meeting: Gamba Osaka vs Machida Zelvia on Jan 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Gamba Osaka score 1.8 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Machida Zelvia score 1.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Gamba Osaka1.81.638/159/15
Machida Zelvia1.90.787/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Gamba Osaka sit 15th in J1 League (11 points from 12 matches) and Machida Zelvia sit 1st (27 points from 12 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Machida Zelvia12831301027
15Gamba Osaka12255142111

A question about Gamba Osaka vs Machida Zelvia?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gamba Osaka vs Machida Zelvia?
The Footlab AI model makes Machida Zelvia the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Gamba Osaka.
Where and when is Gamba Osaka vs Machida Zelvia played?
Gamba Osaka vs Machida Zelvia is played on December 19, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Saitama Stadium 2002, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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