Where and when is Kyoto Sanga vs Fagiano Okayama played?

Kyoto Sanga vs Fagiano Okayama is played on December 19, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Sanga Stadium by Kyocera, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Kyoto Sanga vs Fagiano Okayama: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 20Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Sanga Stadium by Kyocera, Kameoka

Kyoto Sanga

Fagiano Okayama

The Footlab model makes Fagiano Okayama the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Kyoto Sanga. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kyoto Sanga vs Fagiano Okayama?

A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Kyoto Sanga (1,907) and Fagiano Okayama (1,938).

Kyoto Sanga win32 %

Draw26 %

Fagiano Okayama win42 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kyoto Sanga have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Fagiano Okayama have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kyoto Sanga
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Maruyasu Okazaki(home)	1-0	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Mito Hollyhock(home)	1-3	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Kawasaki Frontale(away)	2-2	J1 League
Aug 9, 2026	V-varen Nagasaki(away)	1-2	J1 League
Jul 17, 2026	Shonan Bellmare(home)	1-4	Friendlies Clubs

Fagiano Okayama
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Beluga Rosso Iwami(home)	3-0	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Tokyo Verdy(home)	0-0	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	V-varen Nagasaki(home)	1-0	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Cerezo Osaka(away)	1-2	J1 League
Jul 25, 2026	FC Schalke 04(away)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Kyoto Sanga win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Fagiano Okayama win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 11, 2026	Kyoto Sanga 5-1 Fagiano Okayama	J1 League
Mar 8, 2026	Fagiano Okayama 1-0 Kyoto Sanga	J1 League
Aug 30, 2025	Kyoto Sanga 5-0 Fagiano Okayama	J1 League
Feb 15, 2025	Fagiano Okayama 2-0 Kyoto Sanga	J1 League
Nov 20, 2021	Fagiano Okayama 0-0 Kyoto Sanga	J2 League
Jun 26, 2021	Kyoto Sanga 2-0 Fagiano Okayama	J2 League

Last archived meeting: Kyoto Sanga vs Fagiano Okayama on Apr 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Kyoto Sanga score 0.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Fagiano Okayama score 1.4 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Kyoto Sanga	0.9	2.1	3	8/15	9/15
Fagiano Okayama	1.4	1.0	7	7/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kyoto Sanga sit 18th in J1 League (1 points from 3 matches) and Fagiano Okayama sit 9th (4 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Fagiano Okayama	3	1	1	1	2	2	4
18	Kyoto Sanga	3	0	1	2	4	7	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kyoto Sanga vs Fagiano Okayama?: The Footlab model makes Fagiano Okayama the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Kyoto Sanga.
Where and when is Kyoto Sanga vs Fagiano Okayama played?: Kyoto Sanga vs Fagiano Okayama is played on December 19, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Sanga Stadium by Kyocera, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.