Match

Kashima vs Tokyo Verdy: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 20Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Kashima Soccer Stadium, Kashima

KashimaTokyo Verdy

The Footlab AI model makes Kashima the favourite at 66%, against 21% for a draw and 13% for Tokyo Verdy. The most likely score is 2-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,447 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kashima vs Tokyo Verdy?

Kashima starts as the favourite with a 268-point Elo edge (2,165 vs 1,897).

66%21%13%
Kashima winDrawTokyo Verdy win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Kashima vs Tokyo Verdy

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Kashima

4-4-2
  1. 40Y. Suzuki
  2. 9Léo Ceará
  1. 27Y. Matsumura
  2. 6K. Misao
  3. 10G. Shibasaki
  4. 24H. Hayashu
  1. 55N. Ueda
  2. 23K. Tsukui
  3. 7R. Ogawa
  4. 3Kim Tae-Hyeon
  1. 1T. Hayakawa

Tokyo Verdy

4-4-2
  1. 33K. Ichimi
  2. 25I. Kumatoriya
  1. 8K. Saito
  2. 40Y. Arai
  3. 19K. Fujimoto
  4. 16R. Hirakawa
  1. 4N. Hayashi
  2. 18S. Mizoguchi
  3. 15K. Suzuki
  4. 96Cho Yu-Min
  1. 1Matheus Vidotto

Computed on October 25, 2026 at 03:25 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kashima have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Tokyo Verdy have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kashima
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2026Kashiwa Reysol(home)2-3J1 League
Oct 21, 2026Kyoto Sanga(away)2-2J1 League
Oct 17, 2026V-varen Nagasaki(home)2-0J1 League
Oct 13, 2026Công An Nhân Dân(away)1-0AFC Champions League Elite
Oct 9, 2026Gamba Osaka(home)2-0J1 League
Tokyo Verdy
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2026Avispa Fukuoka(home)3-1J1 League
Oct 21, 2026Yokohama F. Marinos(away)2-2J1 League
Oct 17, 2026FC Tokyo(home)0-4J1 League
Oct 11, 2026Sanfrecce Hiroshima(home)0-2J1 League
Oct 7, 2026Gainare Tottori(away)0-0Emperor Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Kashima wins, 0 draws, 2 Tokyo Verdy wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 29, 2026Tokyo Verdy 0-2 KashimaJ1 League
Apr 29, 2026Tokyo Verdy 2-1 KashimaJ1 League
Mar 7, 2026Kashima 2-0 Tokyo VerdyJ1 League
Nov 30, 2025Tokyo Verdy 0-1 KashimaJ1 League
Feb 22, 2025Kashima 4-0 Tokyo VerdyJ1 League
Aug 25, 2024Tokyo Verdy 2-1 KashimaJ1 League

Last archived meeting: Tokyo Verdy vs Kashima on Aug 29, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Kashima score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Tokyo Verdy score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Kashima2.31.359/1510/15
Tokyo Verdy0.91.547/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kashima sit 8th in J1 League (20 points from 12 matches) and Tokyo Verdy sit 18th (8 points from 12 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Kashima12624252120
18Tokyo Verdy121569218

A question about Kashima vs Tokyo Verdy?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kashima vs Tokyo Verdy?
The Footlab AI model makes Kashima the favourite at 66%, against 21% for a draw and 13% for Tokyo Verdy.
Where and when is Kashima vs Tokyo Verdy played?
Kashima vs Tokyo Verdy is played on December 19, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Kashima Soccer Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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