Where and when is V-varen Nagasaki vs Urawa played?

V-varen Nagasaki vs Urawa is played on December 19, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at PEACE STADIUM Connected by SoftBank, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

V-varen Nagasaki vs Urawa: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 20Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)PEACE STADIUM Connected by SoftBank, Nagasaki

V-varen Nagasaki

Urawa

The Footlab model makes V-varen Nagasaki the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Urawa. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win V-varen Nagasaki vs Urawa?

A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate V-varen Nagasaki (1,910) and Urawa (1,932).

V-varen Nagasaki win40 %

Draw26 %

Urawa win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, V-varen Nagasaki have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Urawa have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

V-varen Nagasaki
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Kashiwa Reysol(away)	2-4	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Fagiano Okayama(away)	0-1	J1 League
Aug 9, 2026	Kyoto Sanga(home)	2-1	J1 League
Jul 17, 2026	Utrecht(away)	2-3	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 6, 2026	Mito Hollyhock(away)	1-0	J1 League

Urawa
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Machida Zelvia(away)	1-3	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Sanfrecce Hiroshima(home)	1-4	J1 League
Aug 7, 2026	Gamba Osaka(away)	3-4	J1 League
Aug 1, 2026	Omiya Ardija(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 17, 2026	FC Ryukyu(away)	4-5	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 V-varen Nagasaki win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Urawa win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 22, 2024	V-varen Nagasaki 1-0 Urawa	J-League Cup
Aug 5, 2018	Urawa 0-0 V-varen Nagasaki	J1 League
Mar 10, 2018	V-varen Nagasaki 1-1 Urawa	J1 League

Last archived meeting: V-varen Nagasaki vs Urawa on May 22, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

V-varen Nagasaki score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Urawa score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
V-varen Nagasaki	1.2	1.5	2	9/15	8/15
Urawa	1.5	1.8	4	8/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

V-varen Nagasaki sit 16th in J1 League (3 points from 3 matches) and Urawa sit 19th (0 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
16	V-varen Nagasaki	3	1	0	2	4	6	3
19	Urawa	3	0	0	3	5	11	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for V-varen Nagasaki vs Urawa?: The Footlab model makes V-varen Nagasaki the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Urawa.
Where and when is V-varen Nagasaki vs Urawa played?: V-varen Nagasaki vs Urawa is played on December 19, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at PEACE STADIUM Connected by SoftBank, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.