Match

Nagoya Grampus vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueMatchday 20Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Toyota Stadium, Toyota

Nagoya GrampusSanfrecce Hiroshima

The Footlab AI model makes Sanfrecce Hiroshima the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Nagoya Grampus. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sanfrecce Hiroshima wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 5,832 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nagoya Grampus vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima starts as the favourite with a 199-point Elo edge (2,152 vs 1,953).

26%25%49%
Nagoya Grampus winDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Nagoya Grampus vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Nagoya Grampus

3-4-2-1
  1. 11Y. Yamagishi
  1. 15S. Inagaki
  2. 22Y. Kimura
  3. 17T. Uchida
  4. 7R. Izumi
  5. 27K. Nakayama
  6. 31T. Takamine
  1. 70T. Hara
  2. 3Y. Sato
  3. 13H. Fujii
  1. 1D. Schmidt

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

3-4-2-1
  1. 23S. Ayukawa
  1. 10A. Suzuki
  2. 5N. Arai
  3. 35Y. Nakajima
  4. 7S. Higashi
  5. 6H. Kawabe
  6. 29T. Asano
  1. 4H. Araki
  2. 15S. Nakano
  3. 37Kim Ju-Sung
  1. 1K. Osako

Computed on November 14, 2026 at 06:22 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nagoya Grampus have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Sanfrecce Hiroshima have 10, 2 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nagoya Grampus
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Kyoto Sanga(home)0-2J1 League
Oct 31, 2026Vissel Kobe(away)1-3J1 League
Oct 28, 2026Urawa(home)1-2J-League Cup
Oct 25, 2026Yokohama F. Marinos(home)1-1J1 League
Oct 21, 2026Cerezo Osaka(home)1-1J1 League
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Machida Zelvia(away)0-0J1 League
Oct 31, 2026Mito Hollyhock(away)3-0J1 League
Oct 28, 2026Yokohama F. Marinos(away)3-4J-League Cup
Oct 24, 2026Shimizu S-pulse(home)4-0J1 League
Oct 21, 2026V-varen Nagasaki(away)0-4J1 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Nagoya Grampus wins, 0 draws, 3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 2, 2026Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-0 Nagoya GrampusJ1 League
May 23, 2026Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4-2 Nagoya GrampusJ1 League
Mar 18, 2026Nagoya Grampus 2-1 Sanfrecce HiroshimaJ1 League
Aug 27, 2025Nagoya Grampus 2-4 Sanfrecce HiroshimaEmperor Cup
Jun 28, 2025Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-2 Nagoya GrampusJ1 League
Apr 20, 2025Nagoya Grampus 2-1 Sanfrecce HiroshimaJ1 League

Last archived meeting: Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus on Sep 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Nagoya Grampus score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Sanfrecce Hiroshima score 2.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Nagoya Grampus1.31.9011/1510/15
Sanfrecce Hiroshima2.30.8113/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Nagoya Grampus sit 13th in J1 League (14 points from 14 matches) and Sanfrecce Hiroshima sit 3rd (30 points from 14 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Sanfrecce Hiroshima14932321030
13Nagoya Grampus14428152314

A question about Nagoya Grampus vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nagoya Grampus vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
The Footlab AI model makes Sanfrecce Hiroshima the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Nagoya Grampus.
Where and when is Nagoya Grampus vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima played?
Nagoya Grampus vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima is played on December 19, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Toyota Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Nagoya Grampus and Sanfrecce Hiroshima