Jong Ajax vs Jong Utrecht: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 32Kick-off on April 5, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark De Toekomst, Amsterdam-Duivendrecht
The Footlab AI model makes Jong Ajax the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Jong Utrecht. The most likely score is 1-1. If Jong Ajax wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,384 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jong Ajax vs Jong Utrecht?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Jong Ajax (1,515) and Jong Utrecht (1,550).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Jong Ajax vs Jong Utrecht
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Jong Ajax
4-3-3- 9E. Ünüvar
- 11P. Nash
- 7Leo Salazar
- 8Mohamed Abdalla
- 10Alejandro Monserrate
- 6M. Verkuijl
- 4M. Muzungu
- 2R. van de Pavert
- 5Sinclair de Falco
- 3G. Spina
- 1C. Setford
Jong Utrecht
4-3-3- 10Massien Ghaddari
- 11E. C. Owen
- 7Bjorn Menzo
- 9N. Dundas
- 6F. Pohl
- 18D. Laaouina
- 5Viggo Plantinga
- 3J. Schuldes
- 14W. Kooy
- 2Yousri Sbai
- 1M. Eppink
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 01:12 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jong Ajax have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Jong Utrecht have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | VVV Venlo(home) | 0-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Roda(home) | 0-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Jong Utrecht(away) | 1-6 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Waalwijk(home) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Almere City FC(away) | 1-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | De Graafschap(away) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | VVV Venlo(home) | 1-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Jong Ajax(home) | 6-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | NAC Breda(away) | 3-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 7, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(home) | 0-0 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Jong Ajax wins, 1 draw, 3 Jong Utrecht wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2026 | Jong Utrecht 6-1 Jong Ajax | Eerste Divisie |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Jong Ajax 0-2 Jong Utrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Jong Utrecht 4-3 Jong Ajax | Eerste Divisie |
| Feb 28, 2025 | Jong Utrecht 1-2 Jong Ajax | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 18, 2024 | Jong Ajax 0-0 Jong Utrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| Feb 5, 2024 | Jong Utrecht 0-1 Jong Ajax | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Jong Utrecht vs Jong Ajax on Sep 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Jong Ajax score 1.1 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Jong Utrecht score 1.6 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jong Ajax | 1.1 | 2.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Jong Utrecht | 1.6 | 2.1 | 3 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jong Ajax sit 18th in Eerste Divisie (8 points from 10 matches) and Jong Utrecht sit 20th (7 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Jong Ajax | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 25 | 8 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 23 | 7 |
A question about Jong Ajax vs Jong Utrecht?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jong Ajax vs Jong Utrecht?
- The Footlab AI model makes Jong Ajax the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Jong Utrecht.
- Where and when is Jong Ajax vs Jong Utrecht played?
- Jong Ajax vs Jong Utrecht is played on April 5, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark De Toekomst, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.