Walsall vs Oldham: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 20, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Poundland Bescot Stadium, Walsall, West Midlands
The Footlab model makes Oldham the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Walsall. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Walsall vs Oldham?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Walsall (1,739) and Oldham (1,775).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Walsall have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Oldham have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Grimsby(home) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gillingham(away) | 3-0 | League Two |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Bristol City(away) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Notts County(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | AFC Telford United(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Colchester(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Port Vale(home) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stoke City(away) | 0-2 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sheffield Wednesday(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Stockport County(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Walsall win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Oldham win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 | Walsall 1-2 Oldham | League Two |
| Dec 10, 2025 | Oldham 0-1 Walsall | League Two |
| Mar 15, 2022 | Walsall 2-1 Oldham | League Two |
| Oct 19, 2021 | Oldham 1-3 Walsall | League Two |
| Jan 16, 2021 | Walsall 1-1 Oldham | League Two |
| Dec 15, 2020 | Oldham 2-3 Walsall | League Two |
How many goals should we expect?
Walsall score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Oldham score 1.6 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walsall | 0.9 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Oldham | 1.6 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Walsall sit 3rd in League Two (4 points from 2 matches) and Oldham sit 12th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Walsall | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Oldham | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Walsall vs Oldham?
- The Footlab model makes Oldham the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Walsall.
- Where and when is Walsall vs Oldham played?
- Walsall vs Oldham is played on October 20, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Poundland Bescot Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.