Crawley Town vs Shrewsbury: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 20, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Broadfield Stadium, Crawley, West Sussex
The Footlab model makes Crawley Town the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Shrewsbury. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Crawley Town vs Shrewsbury?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Crawley Town (1,677) and Shrewsbury (1,644).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Crawley Town have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Shrewsbury have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rochdale(away) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Crewe(home) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Watford(away) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 3, 2026 | York(away) | 2-0 | League Cup |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Reading(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Barnet(home) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tranmere(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Salford City(away) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Hereford(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | West Brom(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Crawley Town win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Shrewsbury win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Crawley Town 0-0 Shrewsbury | League Two |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Shrewsbury 1-0 Crawley Town | League Two |
| May 3, 2025 | Shrewsbury 1-2 Crawley Town | League One |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Crawley Town 3-5 Shrewsbury | League One |
| Mar 11, 2014 | Shrewsbury 1-1 Crawley Town | League One |
| Sep 14, 2013 | Crawley Town 1-1 Shrewsbury | League One |
Last archived meeting: Crawley Town vs Shrewsbury on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Crawley Town score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Shrewsbury score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crawley Town | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Shrewsbury | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Crawley Town sit 15th in League Two (3 points from 2 matches) and Shrewsbury sit 24th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Crawley Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 24 | Shrewsbury | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Crawley Town vs Shrewsbury?
- The Footlab model makes Crawley Town the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Shrewsbury.
- Where and when is Crawley Town vs Shrewsbury played?
- Crawley Town vs Shrewsbury is played on October 20, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Broadfield Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.