Bristol Rovers vs Salford City: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 20, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Memorial Stadium, Bristol, Gloucestershire
The Footlab model makes Salford City the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Bristol Rovers. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bristol Rovers vs Salford City?
A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate Bristol Rovers (1,758) and Salford City (1,817).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bristol Rovers have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Salford City have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Chelsea U21(home) | 2-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Newport County(home) | 5-3 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | York(away) | 2-3 | League Two |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Peterborough(home) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Forest Green(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chesterfield(home) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Barnet(away) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Shrewsbury(home) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bradford(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Carlisle(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Bristol Rovers win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Salford City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | Salford City 1-0 Bristol Rovers | League Two |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Bristol Rovers 2-1 Salford City | League Two |
| Apr 15, 2022 | Bristol Rovers 1-0 Salford City | League Two |
| Nov 23, 2021 | Salford City 1-1 Bristol Rovers | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Salford City vs Bristol Rovers on Jan 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bristol Rovers score 2.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Salford City score 1.4 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bristol Rovers | 2.1 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Salford City | 1.4 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bristol Rovers sit 10th in League Two (3 points from 2 matches) and Salford City sit 22nd (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Bristol Rovers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 3 |
| 22 | Salford City | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bristol Rovers vs Salford City?
- The Footlab model makes Salford City the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Bristol Rovers.
- Where and when is Bristol Rovers vs Salford City played?
- Bristol Rovers vs Salford City is played on October 20, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Memorial Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.