Rotherham vs Newport County: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 20, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)AESSEAL New York Stadium, Rotherham, South Yorkshire
The Footlab AI model makes Rotherham the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Newport County. The most likely score is 1-1. If Rotherham wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,623 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rotherham vs Newport County?
A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Rotherham (1,721) and Newport County (1,807).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Rotherham vs Newport County
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Rotherham
3-4-1-2- 10P. Mullin
- 9T. Bradshaw
- 12D. Hall
- 4J. Austerfield
- 24J. Buyabu
- 28Brandon Ashley Cover
- 6O. Ashley
- 14Sonny Aljofree
- 27D. Iorfa
- 26H. Douglas
- 13J. Eyestone
Newport County
4-2-3-1- 9S. Gwengwe
- 10H. Biggins
- 6C. Brennan
- 24M. Dibley-Dias
- 20Y. Bamba
- 23M. Adu-Poku
- 22C. Norman
- 5L. Jenkins
- 4K. Cameron
- 16M. Jacob
- 1J. Wright
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 11:36 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rotherham have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Newport County have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Gillingham(home) | 1-4 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Bradford(home) | 0-4 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Exeter City(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Crewe(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | York(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Colchester(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Plymouth(home) | 2-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Gillingham(away) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Grimsby(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
How many goals should we expect?
Rotherham score 1.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Newport County score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rotherham | 1.0 | 1.9 | 1 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Newport County | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rotherham sit 23rd in League Two (10 points from 11 matches) and Newport County sit 11th (14 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Newport County | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 14 |
| 23 | Rotherham | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 10 |
A question about Rotherham vs Newport County?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rotherham vs Newport County?
- The Footlab AI model makes Rotherham the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Newport County.
- Where and when is Rotherham vs Newport County played?
- Rotherham vs Newport County is played on October 20, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at AESSEAL New York Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.