Warta Gorzów vs ROW Rybnik: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 18Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion OSiR ul. Olimpijska, Gorzów Wielkopolski
The Footlab model makes Warta Gorzów the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for ROW Rybnik. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Warta Gorzów vs ROW Rybnik?
Warta Gorzów starts as the favourite with a 101-point Elo edge (1,764 vs 1,663).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Warta Gorzów have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; ROW Rybnik have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Odra Bytom Odrzański(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Górnik Polkowice(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Barycz Sułów(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Carina Gubin(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | ROW Rybnik(away) | 1-5 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Barycz Sułów(away) | 0-4 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Carina Gubin(home) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec(home) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Warta Gorzów(home) | 5-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Warta Gorzów win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 ROW Rybnik win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | ROW Rybnik 5-1 Warta Gorzów | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 22, 2021 | ROW Rybnik 0-1 Warta Gorzów | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Oct 17, 2020 | Warta Gorzów 0-0 ROW Rybnik | III Liga - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: ROW Rybnik vs Warta Gorzów on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Warta Gorzów score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; ROW Rybnik score 2.5 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warta Gorzów | 0.9 | 1.4 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| ROW Rybnik | 2.5 | 2.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Warta Gorzów sit 10th in III Liga - Group 3 (8 points from 5 matches) and ROW Rybnik sit 6th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | ROW Rybnik | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 9 |
| 10 | Warta Gorzów | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Warta Gorzów vs ROW Rybnik?
- The Footlab model makes Warta Gorzów the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for ROW Rybnik.
- Where and when is Warta Gorzów vs ROW Rybnik played?
- Warta Gorzów vs ROW Rybnik is played on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion OSiR ul. Olimpijska, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026Zaglebie SosnowiecvsKarkonosze Jelenia Góra
- Nov 21, 2026SKRA CzęstochowavsOdra Bytom Odrzański
- Nov 21, 2026KluczborkvsBarycz Sułów
- Nov 21, 2026Miedź Legnica IIvsCarina Gubin
- Nov 21, 2026Ślęza WrocławvsStilon Gorzów
- Nov 21, 2026Goczałkowice ZdrójvsStal Brzeg
- Nov 21, 2026Sparta KatowicevsZagłębie Lubin II
- Nov 21, 2026SłowianinvsGórnik Polkowice