Match

Warta Gorzów vs ROW Rybnik: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 3Group III - 18Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion OSiR ul. Olimpijska, Gorzów Wielkopolski

Warta GorzówROW Rybnik

The Footlab model makes Warta Gorzów the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for ROW Rybnik. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Warta Gorzów vs ROW Rybnik?

Warta Gorzów starts as the favourite with a 101-point Elo edge (1,764 vs 1,663).

Warta Gorzów win50 %
Draw24 %
ROW Rybnik win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Warta Gorzów have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; ROW Rybnik have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Warta Gorzów
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Odra Bytom Odrzański(away)1-0III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026Górnik Polkowice(home)0-0III Liga - Group 3
Aug 15, 2026Barycz Sułów(away)2-2III Liga - Group 3
Aug 8, 2026Carina Gubin(home)2-1III Liga - Group 3
Aug 1, 2026ROW Rybnik(away)1-5III Liga - Group 3
ROW Rybnik
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Barycz Sułów(away)0-4III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026Carina Gubin(home)4-0III Liga - Group 3
Aug 16, 2026Zaglebie Sosnowiec(home)4-1III Liga - Group 3
Aug 8, 2026Karkonosze Jelenia Góra(away)0-1III Liga - Group 3
Aug 1, 2026Warta Gorzów(home)5-1III Liga - Group 3

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Warta Gorzów win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 ROW Rybnik win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 1, 2026ROW Rybnik 5-1 Warta GorzówIII Liga - Group 3
May 22, 2021ROW Rybnik 0-1 Warta GorzówIII Liga - Group 3
Oct 17, 2020Warta Gorzów 0-0 ROW RybnikIII Liga - Group 3

Last archived meeting: ROW Rybnik vs Warta Gorzów on Aug 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Warta Gorzów score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; ROW Rybnik score 2.5 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Warta Gorzów0.91.467/157/15
ROW Rybnik2.52.249/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Warta Gorzów sit 10th in III Liga - Group 3 (8 points from 5 matches) and ROW Rybnik sit 6th (9 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6ROW Rybnik53021379
10Warta Gorzów5221688

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Warta Gorzów vs ROW Rybnik?
The Footlab model makes Warta Gorzów the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for ROW Rybnik.
Where and when is Warta Gorzów vs ROW Rybnik played?
Warta Gorzów vs ROW Rybnik is played on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion OSiR ul. Olimpijska, in the III Liga - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Warta Gorzów and ROW Rybnik

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