Weszlo vs Ząbkovia Ząbki: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 7Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Weszlo the favourite at 75%, against 15% for a draw and 10% for Ząbkovia Ząbki. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Weszlo vs Ząbkovia Ząbki?
A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate Weszlo (1,796) and Ząbkovia Ząbki (1,699).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 5 matches in all competitions, Weszlo have 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats; Ząbkovia Ząbki have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Jagiellonia II(home) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź II(away) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Mławianka Mława(home) | 5-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Łomża(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Warta Sieradz(away) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Wigry Suwałki(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(away) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Widzew II(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Olimpia Zambrów(away) | 0-5 | III Liga - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Weszlo score 2.8 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 5; Ząbkovia Ząbki score 1.4 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weszlo | 2.8 | 0.4 | 3 | 2/5 | 3/5 |
| Ząbkovia Ząbki | 1.4 | 1.9 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 5 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Weszlo sit 1st in III Liga - Group 1 (15 points from 5 matches) and Ząbkovia Ząbki sit 13th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Weszlo | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 15 |
| 13 | Ząbkovia Ząbki | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Weszlo vs Ząbkovia Ząbki?
- The Footlab model makes Weszlo the favourite at 75%, against 15% for a draw and 10% for Ząbkovia Ząbki.
- Where and when is Weszlo vs Ząbkovia Ząbki played?
- Weszlo vs Ząbkovia Ząbki is played on September 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 5, 2026Wigry SuwałkivsPolonia Lidzbark Warm.
- Sep 5, 2026Pelikan ŁowiczvsSwit
- Sep 5, 2026Lechia T. MazowieckivsTroszyn
- Sep 5, 2026Mławianka MławavsŁKS Łódź II
- Sep 5, 2026Warta SieradzvsOlimpia Elbląg
- Sep 5, 2026ŁomżavsJagiellonia II
- Sep 5, 2026Widzew IIvsWisła Płock II
- Sep 5, 2026Mazovia Minsk MazowieckivsOlimpia Zambrów