Widzew II vs Wisła Płock II: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 7Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion MOSiR Łódź, Łódź
The Footlab model makes Widzew II the favourite at 56%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for Wisła Płock II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Widzew II vs Wisła Płock II?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Widzew II (1,800) and Wisła Płock II (1,760).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Widzew II have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Wisła Płock II have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(home) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Olimpia Elbląg(away) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Swit(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ząbkovia Ząbki(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Troszyn(home) | 5-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Olimpia Zambrów(away) | 3-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Łomża(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Olimpia Elbląg(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Widzew II win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Wisła Płock II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2026 | Wisła Płock II 0-1 Widzew II | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Widzew II 1-2 Wisła Płock II | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Wisła Płock II vs Widzew II on Apr 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Widzew II score 2.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Wisła Płock II score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Widzew II | 2.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Wisła Płock II | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Widzew II sit 2nd in III Liga - Group 1 (10 points from 5 matches) and Wisła Płock II sit 9th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Widzew II | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 10 |
| 9 | Wisła Płock II | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Widzew II vs Wisła Płock II?
- The Footlab model makes Widzew II the favourite at 56%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for Wisła Płock II.
- Where and when is Widzew II vs Wisła Płock II played?
- Widzew II vs Wisła Płock II is played on September 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion MOSiR Łódź, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 5, 2026Wigry SuwałkivsPolonia Lidzbark Warm.
- Sep 5, 2026Pelikan ŁowiczvsSwit
- Sep 5, 2026Lechia T. MazowieckivsTroszyn
- Sep 5, 2026Mławianka MławavsŁKS Łódź II
- Sep 5, 2026Warta SieradzvsOlimpia Elbląg
- Sep 5, 2026ŁomżavsJagiellonia II
- Sep 5, 2026Mazovia Minsk MazowieckivsOlimpia Zambrów
- Sep 5, 2026WeszlovsZąbkovia Ząbki