Pelikan Łowicz vs Swit: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 7Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Pelikan, Łowicz
The Footlab model makes Pelikan Łowicz the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Swit. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pelikan Łowicz vs Swit?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Pelikan Łowicz (1,648) and Swit (1,680).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pelikan Łowicz have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Swit have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Troszyn(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Jagiellonia II(away) | 0-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź II(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Mławianka Mława(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Łomża(home) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Wigry Suwałki(away) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Widzew II(away) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Olimpia Zambrów(home) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Pelikan Łowicz win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Swit win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 15, 2026 | Pelikan Łowicz 2-1 Swit | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 21, 2025 | Swit 1-1 Pelikan Łowicz | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Pelikan Łowicz 1-3 Swit | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Pelikan Łowicz 2-3 Swit | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Swit 1-1 Pelikan Łowicz | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Jun 17, 2023 | Swit 3-2 Pelikan Łowicz | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Pelikan Łowicz vs Swit on Jul 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pelikan Łowicz score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Swit score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pelikan Łowicz | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Swit | 1.7 | 1.6 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pelikan Łowicz sit 4th in III Liga - Group 1 (10 points from 5 matches) and Swit sit 10th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Pelikan Łowicz | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 10 |
| 10 | Swit | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pelikan Łowicz vs Swit?
- The Footlab model makes Pelikan Łowicz the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Swit.
- Where and when is Pelikan Łowicz vs Swit played?
- Pelikan Łowicz vs Swit is played on September 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Pelikan, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 5, 2026Wigry SuwałkivsPolonia Lidzbark Warm.
- Sep 5, 2026Lechia T. MazowieckivsTroszyn
- Sep 5, 2026Mławianka MławavsŁKS Łódź II
- Sep 5, 2026Warta SieradzvsOlimpia Elbląg
- Sep 5, 2026ŁomżavsJagiellonia II
- Sep 5, 2026Widzew IIvsWisła Płock II
- Sep 5, 2026Mazovia Minsk MazowieckivsOlimpia Zambrów
- Sep 5, 2026WeszlovsZąbkovia Ząbki