Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Troszyn: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 7Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion im. Braci Gadajów, Tomaszów Mazowiecki
The Footlab model makes Lechia T. Mazowiecki the favourite at 49%, against 22% for a draw and 29% for Troszyn. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Troszyn?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Lechia T. Mazowiecki (1,756) and Troszyn (1,748).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lechia T. Mazowiecki have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Troszyn have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź II(home) | 4-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Mławianka Mława(away) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Łomża(home) | 5-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wisła Płock II(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Weszlo(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Pelikan Łowicz(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Warta Sieradz(home) | 1-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Wigry Suwałki(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(home) | 1-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Widzew II(away) | 1-5 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Lechia T. Mazowiecki win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Troszyn win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2026 | Troszyn 4-1 Lechia T. Mazowiecki | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki 1-2 Troszyn | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Troszyn vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki on May 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lechia T. Mazowiecki score 2.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Troszyn score 1.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lechia T. Mazowiecki | 2.0 | 1.9 | 2 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
| Troszyn | 1.3 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lechia T. Mazowiecki sit 5th in III Liga - Group 1 (9 points from 5 matches) and Troszyn sit 17th (1 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 9 |
| 17 | Troszyn | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Troszyn?
- The Footlab model makes Lechia T. Mazowiecki the favourite at 49%, against 22% for a draw and 29% for Troszyn.
- Where and when is Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Troszyn played?
- Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Troszyn is played on September 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion im. Braci Gadajów, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 5, 2026Wigry SuwałkivsPolonia Lidzbark Warm.
- Sep 5, 2026Pelikan ŁowiczvsSwit
- Sep 5, 2026Mławianka MławavsŁKS Łódź II
- Sep 5, 2026Warta SieradzvsOlimpia Elbląg
- Sep 5, 2026ŁomżavsJagiellonia II
- Sep 5, 2026Widzew IIvsWisła Płock II
- Sep 5, 2026Mazovia Minsk MazowieckivsOlimpia Zambrów
- Sep 5, 2026WeszlovsZąbkovia Ząbki