Match

Wda Świecie vs Bałtyk Koszalin: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 15Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Świecie nad Wisłą

Wda ŚwiecieBałtyk Koszalin

The Footlab model makes Wda Świecie the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Bałtyk Koszalin. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Wda Świecie vs Bałtyk Koszalin?

Wda Świecie starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (1,759 vs 1,653).

Wda Świecie win43 %
Draw25 %
Bałtyk Koszalin win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wda Świecie have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Bałtyk Koszalin have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Wda Świecie
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Unia Swarzędz(away)1-0III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Grom Nowy Staw(home)4-2III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026Gedania Gdansk(away)1-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026Lipno Stęszew(home)2-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026Stargard Szczeciński(away)1-1III Liga - Group 2
Bałtyk Koszalin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Kalisz(home)1-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Kotwica Kórnik(away)1-0III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026Flota Świnoujście(home)1-2III Liga - Group 2
Aug 9, 2026Luzino(away)1-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026Polonia Środa(home)0-3III Liga - Group 2

How many goals should we expect?

Wda Świecie score 1.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Bałtyk Koszalin score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Wda Świecie1.72.1311/159/15
Bałtyk Koszalin1.11.729/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Wda Świecie sit 3rd in III Liga - Group 2 (11 points from 5 matches) and Bałtyk Koszalin sit 13th (5 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Wda Świecie53209511
13Bałtyk Koszalin5122475

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Wda Świecie vs Bałtyk Koszalin?
The Footlab model makes Wda Świecie the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Bałtyk Koszalin.
Where and when is Wda Świecie vs Bałtyk Koszalin played?
Wda Świecie vs Bałtyk Koszalin is played on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Wda Świecie and Bałtyk Koszalin

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