Wda Świecie vs Bałtyk Koszalin: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 15Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Świecie nad Wisłą
The Footlab model makes Wda Świecie the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Bałtyk Koszalin. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wda Świecie vs Bałtyk Koszalin?
Wda Świecie starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (1,759 vs 1,653).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wda Świecie have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Bałtyk Koszalin have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Unia Swarzędz(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Grom Nowy Staw(home) | 4-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gedania Gdansk(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lipno Stęszew(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Stargard Szczeciński(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kalisz(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Kotwica Kórnik(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Flota Świnoujście(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Luzino(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Polonia Środa(home) | 0-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Wda Świecie score 1.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Bałtyk Koszalin score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wda Świecie | 1.7 | 2.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Bałtyk Koszalin | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wda Świecie sit 3rd in III Liga - Group 2 (11 points from 5 matches) and Bałtyk Koszalin sit 13th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wda Świecie | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 11 |
| 13 | Bałtyk Koszalin | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wda Świecie vs Bałtyk Koszalin?
- The Footlab model makes Wda Świecie the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Bałtyk Koszalin.
- Where and when is Wda Świecie vs Bałtyk Koszalin played?
- Wda Świecie vs Bałtyk Koszalin is played on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026Elana ToruńvsVictoria Września
- Oct 31, 2026Polonia ŚrodavsLuzino
- Oct 31, 2026Lech Poznań IIvsFlota Świnoujście
- Oct 31, 2026Unia SwarzędzvsStargard Szczeciński
- Oct 31, 2026Kluczevia StargardvsKotwica Kórnik
- Oct 31, 2026Gedania GdanskvsKalisz
- Oct 31, 2026Noteć CzarnkówvsChemik Bydgoszcz
- Oct 31, 2026Grom Nowy StawvsLipno Stęszew