Where and when is Wieczysta Kraków vs Raków Częstochowa played?

Wieczysta Kraków vs Raków Częstochowa is played on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at ArcelorMittal Park, in the Ekstraklasa.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Wieczysta Kraków vs Raków Częstochowa: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)ArcelorMittal Park, Sosnowiec

Wieczysta Kraków

Raków Częstochowa

The Footlab model makes Wieczysta Kraków the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Raków Częstochowa. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Wieczysta Kraków vs Raków Częstochowa?

Raków Częstochowa starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (2,034 vs 1,931).

Wieczysta Kraków win37 %

Draw27 %

Raków Częstochowa win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wieczysta Kraków have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Raków Częstochowa have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Wieczysta Kraków
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Cracovia Krakow(away)	2-3	Ekstraklasa
Aug 15, 2026	Piast Gliwice(away)	4-3	Ekstraklasa
Aug 1, 2026	Lech Poznan(home)	1-2	Ekstraklasa
Jul 24, 2026	Radomiak Radom(away)	1-2	Ekstraklasa
Jul 18, 2026	Maccabi Netanya(home)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs

Raków Częstochowa
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 20, 2026	HNK Hajduk Split(away)	2-2	UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 16, 2026	Cracovia Krakow(away)	1-2	Ekstraklasa
Aug 13, 2026	Hammarby FF(away)	1-0	UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 6, 2026	Hammarby FF(home)	0-0	UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 2, 2026	Slask Wroclaw(away)	1-2	Ekstraklasa

How many goals should we expect?

Wieczysta Kraków score 2.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Raków Częstochowa score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Wieczysta Kraków	2.0	1.7	1	12/15	11/15
Raków Częstochowa	1.7	1.3	5	9/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Wieczysta Kraków sit 17th in Ekstraklasa (3 points from 4 matches) and Raków Częstochowa sit 18th (0 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
17	Wieczysta Kraków	4	1	0	3	8	10	3
18	Raków Częstochowa	3	0	0	3	3	6	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Wieczysta Kraków vs Raków Częstochowa?: The Footlab model makes Wieczysta Kraków the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Raków Częstochowa.
Where and when is Wieczysta Kraków vs Raków Częstochowa played?: Wieczysta Kraków vs Raków Częstochowa is played on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at ArcelorMittal Park, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.