Where and when is Gornik Zabrze vs Piast Gliwice played?

Gornik Zabrze vs Piast Gliwice is played on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla, in the Ekstraklasa.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Gornik Zabrze vs Piast Gliwice: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla, Zabrze

Gornik Zabrze

Piast Gliwice

The Footlab model makes Gornik Zabrze the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Piast Gliwice. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gornik Zabrze vs Piast Gliwice?

Gornik Zabrze starts as the favourite with a 124-point Elo edge (2,041 vs 1,917).

Gornik Zabrze win53 %

Draw25 %

Piast Gliwice win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gornik Zabrze have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Piast Gliwice have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gornik Zabrze
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 20, 2026	Monaco(home)	2-3	UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 16, 2026	Wisla Krakow(home)	2-1	Ekstraklasa
Aug 13, 2026	Ferencvarosi TC(home)	1-1	UEFA Europa League
Aug 8, 2026	Radomiak Radom(away)	3-1	Ekstraklasa
Aug 5, 2026	Ferencvarosi TC(away)	0-1	UEFA Europa League

Piast Gliwice
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Legia Warszawa(home)	1-1	Ekstraklasa
Aug 15, 2026	Wieczysta Kraków(home)	3-4	Ekstraklasa
Aug 9, 2026	Lech Poznan(away)	0-3	Ekstraklasa
Aug 1, 2026	Wisla Krakow(home)	4-3	Ekstraklasa
Jul 27, 2026	Zaglebie Lubin(away)	0-2	Ekstraklasa

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Gornik Zabrze win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Piast Gliwice win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 31, 2026	Gornik Zabrze 2-1 Piast Gliwice	Ekstraklasa
Jul 26, 2025	Piast Gliwice 0-1 Gornik Zabrze	Ekstraklasa
May 17, 2025	Piast Gliwice 2-0 Gornik Zabrze	Ekstraklasa
Nov 24, 2024	Gornik Zabrze 1-0 Piast Gliwice	Ekstraklasa
Feb 10, 2024	Piast Gliwice 1-3 Gornik Zabrze	Ekstraklasa
Aug 5, 2023	Gornik Zabrze 0-0 Piast Gliwice	Ekstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Gornik Zabrze vs Piast Gliwice on Jan 31, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Gornik Zabrze score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Piast Gliwice score 1.4 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Gornik Zabrze	1.6	1.3	2	10/15	9/15
Piast Gliwice	1.4	1.6	4	8/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Gornik Zabrze sit 2nd in Ekstraklasa (9 points from 3 matches) and Piast Gliwice sit 14th (4 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Gornik Zabrze	3	3	0	0	7	3	9
14	Piast Gliwice	5	1	1	3	8	13	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gornik Zabrze vs Piast Gliwice?: The Footlab model makes Gornik Zabrze the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Piast Gliwice.
Where and when is Gornik Zabrze vs Piast Gliwice played?: Gornik Zabrze vs Piast Gliwice is played on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.